Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 31

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday


	Dartford		Weymouth

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	3.25
	1.9	3.75	3.5
	1.95	3.5	3.32
	1.96	3.93	3.41
	1.85	3.6	3.4
	1.9	3.64	3.61
	1.91	3.65	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.83)	3.65 ↓ (3.72)	3.4 ↓ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dartford
48%

Draw
25.1%

Weymouth
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

24.9%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

25%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dartford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Weymouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dartford than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Dartford - Weymouth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 18 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dartford won 2.

Recent matches Dartford is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Weymouth is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Weymouth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Dartford will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Dartford won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Dartford won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dartford
English National League South
09.01.24	Maidstone United - Dartford	2:1 ✺
06.01.24	Weston-super-Mare - Dartford	2:2 ✺
30.12.23	Dartford - Welling United	1:1 ✺
26.12.23	Welling United - Dartford	0:1 ✺
23.12.23	Dartford - St Albans City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTTWL
- Weymouth
English National League South
23.01.24	Taunton Town - Weymouth	0:2 ✺
13.01.24	Weymouth - Slough Town	3:0 ✺
06.01.24	Tonbridge Angels - Weymouth	2:1 ✺
01.01.24	Weymouth - Weston-super-Mare	3:3 ✺
26.12.23	Weston-super-Mare - Weymouth	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
12.08.23	Weymouth - Dartford	1:0
04.03.23	Weymouth - Dartford	3:1
29.10.22	Dartford - Weymouth	3:0
English FA Trophy
15.01.22	Dartford - Weymouth	1:0
English National League South
01.08.20	Weymouth - Dartford	1:0 penalties
17.08.19	Weymouth - Dartford	3:1

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