Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 27

Date: 6 January 2024, Saturday


	Weston-super-Mare		Dartford

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.7	2.85
	2	3.75	3.2
	2.06	3.75	3.2
	2.06	3.75	3.2
	2	3.7	2.88
	2.08	3.62	3.14
	2.04	3.6	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.5)	3.7 (3.7)	3.07 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weston-super-Mare
45.2%

Draw
24.8%

Dartford
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

24.2%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

24.2%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weston-super-Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Weston-super-Mare's performance.

Dartford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dartford might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Weston-super-Mare that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dartford than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dartford could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Weston super Mare - Dartford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 17 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Weston-super-Mare won 2.

Weston-super-Mare is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Dartford is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Weston-super-Mare will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Weston-super-Mare won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 18-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Weston-super-Mare won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weston-super-Mare
English National League South
01.01.24	Weymouth - Weston-super-Mare	3:3 ✺
26.12.23	Weston-super-Mare - Weymouth	2:3 ✺
23.12.23	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Weston-super-Mare	2:1 ✺
16.12.23	Weston-super-Mare - Truro City	2:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
12.12.23	Weston-super-Mare - Woking	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLLW
- Dartford
English National League South
30.12.23	Dartford - Welling United	1:1 ✺
26.12.23	Welling United - Dartford	0:1 ✺
23.12.23	Dartford - St Albans City	0:3 ✺
16.12.23	Tonbridge Angels - Dartford	4:0 ✺
09.12.23	Dartford - Yeovil Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
31.10.23	Dartford - Weston-super-Mare	4:2
06.04.19	Weston-super-Mare - Dartford	3:1
29.09.18	Dartford - Weston-super-Mare	2:1
07.04.18	Dartford - Weston-super-Mare	3:1
23.09.17	Weston-super-Mare - Dartford	3:0
17.01.17	Dartford - Weston-super-Mare	3:2
English FA Trophy
26.11.16	Weston-super-Mare - Dartford	2:4

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