Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 38

Date: 11 March 2025, Tuesday


	Weymouth		Weston-super-Mare

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.25	2.18
	3.41	3.27	2.15
	3.4	3.23	2.17	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.15
	3.31	3.24	2.12
	3.2	3.25	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.84)	3.22 ↓ (3.43)	2.16 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weymouth
28.1%

Draw
28.8%

Weston-super-Mare
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

27%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

25.7%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weymouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Weston-super-Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Weymouth - Weston super Mare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 0 - 1, Pearson S. ⚽,
79', 0 - 2, Reid R. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Weston-super-Mare will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Weymouth won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:8 (average 2.5:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Weymouth won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weymouth
English National League South
08.03.25	St Albans City - Weymouth	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Weymouth - Hornchurch	3:3 ✺
25.02.25	Truro City - Weymouth	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Weymouth - Aveley	4:1 ✺
15.02.25	Farnborough - Weymouth	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TTTWL
- Weston-super-Mare
English National League South
08.03.25	Weston-super-Mare - Bath City	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Farnborough - Weston-super-Mare	2:1 ✺
25.02.25	Weston-super-Mare - Torquay United	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Weston-super-Mare - Hampton & Richmond Borough	3:1 ✺
15.02.25	Aveley - Weston-super-Mare	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Weston-super-Mare - Weymouth	2:3
English National League South
05.11.24	Weston-super-Mare - Weymouth	1:1
01.01.24	Weymouth - Weston-super-Mare	3:3
26.12.23	Weston-super-Mare - Weymouth	2:3

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