Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Trophy - 1/64-finals

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday


	Weston-super-Mare		Weymouth

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.4	4.2
	1.72	3.7	4.4
	1.74	3.82	4.3
	1.75	3.79	4.35	Watch
	1.65	3.6	4.33
	1.71	3.7	4.41
	1.72	3.7	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.7)	3.67 ↓ (3.86)	4.34 ↑ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weston-super-Mare
53.7%

Draw
25.1%

Weymouth
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

24%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

23.7%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weston-super-Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Weymouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Weston super Mare - Weymouth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Rowan C. ⚽,
14', 0 - 2, Rowan C. ⚽,
44', 1 - 2, Pearson S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 3, Goodship B. ⚽,
89', 2 - 3, Bak E. B. ⚽,

Preview

Weston-super-Mare is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Weymouth is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Weston-super-Mare could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Weston-super-Mare is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Weston-super-Mare won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:7 (average 2:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Weston-super-Mare won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weston-super-Mare
English National League South
11.11.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Weston-super-Mare	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Bath City - Weston-super-Mare	0:2 ✺
05.11.24	Weston-super-Mare - Weymouth	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Bristol Rovers - Weston-super-Mare	3:1 ET ✺
English National League South
26.10.24	Weston-super-Mare - Aveley	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWTLW
- Weymouth
English National League South
09.11.24	Weymouth - St Albans City	1:1 ✺
05.11.24	Weston-super-Mare - Weymouth	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Aveley - Weymouth	0:1 ✺
26.10.24	Weymouth - Farnborough	1:1 ✺
22.10.24	Bath City - Weymouth	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
05.11.24	Weston-super-Mare - Weymouth	1:1
01.01.24	Weymouth - Weston-super-Mare	3:3
26.12.23	Weston-super-Mare - Weymouth	2:3

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