Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 37

Date: 9 April 2024, Tuesday


	Dartford		Worthing

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.7	1.77
	3.75	4	1.8
	3.77	4.01	1.82
	3.77	4.01	1.82
	3.5	3.75	1.83
	3.68	3.97	1.8
	3.4	3.8	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.19)	3.89 ↑ (3.62)	1.81 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dartford
25.4%

Draw
23.7%

Worthing
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

25.6%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

25.2%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dartford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Worthing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Worthing's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dartford than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Dartford - Worthing Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Coulson L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 1 - 1, Dolaghan B. ⚽,
70', 1 - 2, Wills K. ⚽,

Preview

Dartford is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Worthing is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Worthing could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Worthing will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Dartford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Dartford won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dartford
English National League South
06.04.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Dartford	1:2 ✺
01.04.24	Dartford - Eastbourne Borough	0:2 ✺
29.03.24	Chelmsford City - Dartford	4:1 ✺
26.03.24	Truro City - Dartford	0:0 ✺
23.03.24	Dartford - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLTT
- Worthing FC
English National League South
06.04.24	Yeovil Town - Worthing	1:3 ✺
01.04.24	Worthing - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:0 ✺
29.03.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Worthing	1:5 ✺
24.03.24	Worthing - Bath City	2:2 ✺
16.03.24	Chippenham Town - Worthing	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
14.11.23	Worthing - Dartford	3:4
28.01.23	Worthing - Dartford	3:0
27.08.22	Dartford - Worthing	1:2

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