Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 41

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Dartford		Hemel Hempstead Town

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	3.4
	1.95	3.6	3.5
	2.02	3.6	3.43
	2.02	3.6	3.43
	1.83	3.5	3.7
	1.98	3.52	3.46
	1.96	3.45	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.89)	3.51 ↓ (3.6)	3.46 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dartford
47.2%

Draw
26.2%

Hemel Hempstead Town
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

25.8%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

23.3%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dartford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Hemel Hempstead Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dartford than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Dartford - Hemel Hempstead Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Folivi M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 1, Rooney P. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dartford won 2.

Both teams have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Dartford will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Dartford won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 26-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Dartford won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dartford
English National League South
16.03.24	Dartford - Maidstone United	0:2 ✺
12.03.24	Braintree Town - Dartford	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Torquay United - Dartford	4:1 ✺
27.02.24	Dartford - Aveley	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Dartford - Taunton Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
16.03.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:2 ✺
12.03.24	Bath City - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Eastbourne Borough - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Havant & Waterlooville	0:2 ✺
20.02.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Chelmsford City	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
28.10.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Dartford	2:1
14.01.23	Dartford - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:3
29.08.22	Hemel Hempstead Town - Dartford	0:2
09.04.22	Dartford - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:1
20.11.21	Hemel Hempstead Town - Dartford	2:3
10.11.20	Hemel Hempstead Town - Dartford	1:3
31.08.19	Dartford - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:1

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