Match Info

National League - Round 11

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Huish Park (Yeovil)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	DAZN
Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
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Hungary	DAZN
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-macedonia	DAZN
Paraguay	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	DAZN
Slovenia	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN
World	DAZN National League


	Yeovil Town		Worthing

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.75	2.9
	2.05	3.60	2.80
	2.05	3.65	2.95
	2.2	4.08	2.96
	2.19	3.76	2.88	Watch
	2.09	4	2.9
	2.13	4.2	2.93
	2.09	3.75	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.23)	3.85 ↑ (3.4)	2.92 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yeovil Town
44.1%

Draw
24.1%

Worthing
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

27%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

27.5%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yeovil Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Worthing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yeovil Town than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Yeovil Town - Worthing Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barker J. (G) 12. Davies A. 5. Kingdon J. 16. Radcliffe B. 3. Norville-Williams J. 4. Muller H. 14. McGavin B. (C) 11. Daly J. 10. Jones R. 19. Spasov S. 20. Powell J.	13. Seymour T. (G) 5. Cook J. 6. Moore J. 28. Waller C. 27. Young J. 2. Colbran J. (C) 4. Wadham J. 15. Aguiar R. 3. Adjetey-Brew C. 7. Coleman De-Graft R. 24. Kendall C.
Substitutes
22. Gould M. (G) 15. Gubbins J. 27. Lennon C. 7. Obeng M. 9. Walker S. 25. Westbrooke Z.	25. Boddy H. 32. De La Cruz G. (G) 16. Packham S. 12. Ransom H. 17. Smith B. 18. Spicer O. 23. Sutton E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Coleman De-Graft R. ⚽,
44', Norville-Williams J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 1, Cook J. (Own goal),
64', Daly J. ↓, Obeng M. ↑,
64', Muller H. ↓, Westbrooke Z. ↑,
74', Spasov S. ↓, Walker S. ↑,
77', Young J. ↓, Sutton E. ↑,
83', Powell J. ↓, Lennon C. ↑,

Preview

Yeovil has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Worthing shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Recently, Worthing has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Yeovil is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Yeovil has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:4 (averaging 1.5:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Yeovil against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals.

Last Results with these Odds

Yeovil Town - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.15%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yeovil Town
English National League
26.09.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Yeovil Town	0:1 ✺
18.09.26	Yeovil Town - Solihull Moors	4:1 ✺
English National League North
15.09.26	Aldershot Town - Yeovil Town	1:1 ✺
English National League
12.09.26	Yeovil Town - Fylde	1:4 ✺
05.09.26	Southend United - Yeovil Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWTLL
- Worthing FC
English National League
26.09.26	Worthing - Halifax Town	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Hartlepool United - Worthing	1:3 ✺
English National League North
15.09.26	Worthing - Hornchurch	1:0 ✺
English National League
12.09.26	Worthing - Barrow	2:2 ✺
English National League Cup
08.09.26	Worthing - Norwich City U21	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
06.04.24	Yeovil Town - Worthing	1:3
21.10.23	Worthing - Yeovil Town	1:2

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