Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday


	De Graafschap		HHC Hardenberg

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.93	7.09	Watch
	1.36	4.6	6.5
	1.32	5	7.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.5)	4.84 ↑ (4.2)	6.88 ↑ (5.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

De Graafschap
68%

Draw
18.8%

HHC Hardenberg
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

21.7%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

20.9%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in De Graafschap's performance.

HHC Hardenberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HHC Hardenberg than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

De Graafschap - HHC Hardenberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Smits J. (G)
3. Besselink R.
47. El Jebli Y.
30. El Kadiri I.
20. Hillen R.
27. Najah A.
2. Saarinen S.
5. Schoppema L.
26. Seuntjens R. (C)
28. van der Heide A.
8. Warmerdam D.
Substitutes
18. Ahmeti N.
22. Fortes J.
19. Hassan B.
31. Jansen T.
25. Jonkers R. (G)
6. Kaak L.
12. Kremers S. (G)
10. Mahi M.
29. Scholten B.
21. Symons K.
1. Wieggers T. (G)
4. Willemsen M.
34. Yadir A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, ten Brinke N. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Warmerdam D. ⚽,
44', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
55', 3 - 1, Yadir A. ⚽,
78', 3 - 2, de Lange T. ⚽,
82', 4 - 2, Ahmeti N. ⚽,
85', 4 - 3, ⚽,
89', 5 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

De Graafschap could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match De Graafschap is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- De Graafschap
Dutch Eerste Divisie
22.12.24	Volendam - De Graafschap	2:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
19.12.24	De Graafschap - Sparta Nijkerk	4:0 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
13.12.24	De Graafschap - Cambuur	0:2 ✺
09.12.24	Jong Ajax - De Graafschap	2:0 ✺
01.12.24	De Graafschap - VVV-Venlo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLW
- HHC Hardenberg
Dutch Tweede Divisie
14.12.24	HHC Hardenberg - Koninklijke HFC	1:2 ✺
07.12.24	Amsterdamsche FC - HHC Hardenberg	4:0 ✺
30.11.24	HHC Hardenberg - ADO 20 Heemskerk	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Katwijk - HHC Hardenberg	1:0 ✺
16.11.24	HHC Hardenberg - ACV	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLW

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