Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 37

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: De Vijverberg (Doetinchem)

Referee: Bos A. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4


	De Graafschap		Cambuur

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.8	2.65
	2.32	3.7	2.68	Watch
	2.38	3.92	2.75
	2.25	3.82	2.8	Watch
	2.3	3.5	2.63
	2.3	3.8	2.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.47)	3.76 ↓ (3.8)	2.7 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

De Graafschap
40.6%

Draw
24.9%

Cambuur
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

24.1%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

23.5%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Cambuur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

De Graafschap - Cambuur Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Graafschap will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Cambuur will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Graafschap: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wieggers T. (G) 2. Martens N. 15. Kok T. (C) 3. Besselink R. 5. Schoppema L. 24. Meerstadt J. 22. de Jong F. 17. Kaninda N. 8. Gijselhart T. 19. El Allachi C. 40. Kwint K.	1. Jansen T. (G) 2. Jermoumi D. 4. Baouf I. 6. Amofa J. 22. Galvez T. 17. Apkakou E. 7. Balk R. 10. Diemers M. (C) 26. Ferrah I. 14. van der Sande J. 15. Kvam F.
Substitutes
18. Bultman S. 9. Eggens N. 11. El Kadiri I. 14. Hardeman J. 25. Jonkers R. (G) 12. Kremers S. (G) 7. Simons J. 6. Smits M. 21. Symons K.	3. Berkhout J. 19. Henstra I. 24. Jonker T. 31. Kalisvaart M. (G) 27. Kooistra W. 25. Marsman B. 21. Meijster J. (G) 33. Priem J. 36. van der Goot W. 48. van der Heide W. 40. Veldhuis S. 9. Visser K.
Coaches
Dijkhuizen M.	de Jong H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, van der Sande J. ⚽, Diemers M. (A),
29', 1 - 1, Kaninda N. ⚽, de Jong F. (A),
34', El Allachi C. 🟨,
35', Besselink R. 🟨,
42', Galvez T. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 1, Schoppema L. ⚽, de Jong F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jermoumi D. ↓, Marsman B. ↑,
59', Kvam F. ↓, Henstra I. ↑,
59', Apkakou E. ↓, Berkhout J. ↑,
62', Kwint K. ↓, Eggens N. ↑,
62', Martens N. ↓, Hardeman J. ↑,
63', 3 - 1, Hardeman J. ⚽, de Jong F. (A),
69', Balk R. ↓, Visser K. ↑,
70', El Allachi C. ↓, El Kadiri I. ↑,
70', Kaninda N. ↓, Simons J. ↑,
73', Amofa J. 🟨,
80', Galvez T. ↓, Kooistra W. ↑,
85', Meerstadt J. 🟨,
85', de Jong F. ↓, Smits M. ↑,
90', Marsman B. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).

Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Cambuur: Visser D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in De Graafschap: Niemeijer R. (Leg Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:32. (average 1.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, De Graafschap won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.7:1.6).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

De Graafschap: 0.81%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	De Graafschap	10	3	2	5	13:23	-10	11

Last Results with these Odds

De Graafschap - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.14%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Cambuur - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.71%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- De Graafschap
Dutch Eerste Divisie
11.04.26	VVV-Venlo - De Graafschap	3:3 ✺
06.04.26	De Graafschap - Jong AZ Alkmaar	5:0 ✺
03.04.26	FC Eindhoven - De Graafschap	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	Willem II - De Graafschap	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	De Graafschap - ADO Den Haag	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWTWL
- Leeuwarden Cambuur
Dutch Eerste Divisie
10.04.26	Den Bosch - Cambuur	0:0 ✺
06.04.26	Cambuur - Dordrecht	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	VVV-Venlo - Cambuur	3:0 ✺
24.03.26	Emmen - Cambuur	2:4 ✺
20.03.26	Cambuur - Jong AZ Alkmaar	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
11.10.25	Cambuur - De Graafschap	2:0
28.03.25	Cambuur - De Graafschap	3:2
13.12.24	De Graafschap - Cambuur	0:2
08.03.24	Cambuur - De Graafschap	1:2
08.12.23	De Graafschap - Cambuur	2:3
30.04.21	Cambuur - De Graafschap	1:1
19.11.20	De Graafschap - Cambuur	0:2

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