The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jong Ajax 26.4%
Draw 22.9%
De Graafschap 50.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.8%
23.4%
43.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.2%
23.1%
43.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jong Ajax's form might have worsened.
De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting De Graafschap's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jong Ajax, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for De Graafschap, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
6.2%
81.2%
Jong Ajax - De Graafschap Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.5 - Jong Ajax (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
De Graafschap will win
(13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%). Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): De Graafschap will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Jong Ajax (votes: 1 - 16.7%). De Graafschap (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
52. Reverson P. (G) 2. Appiah A. (C) 3. Johnson J. 4. Muzungu M. 5. Jetten L. 6. Peters T. 10. Bounida R. 8. Steur S. 7. O'Niel D. 9. Unuvar E. 11. Wolff K.
1. Wieggers T. (G) 4. Raterink O. 3. Besselink R. 15. Kok T. 21. Symons K. 8. Gijselhart T. 10. Niemeijer R. (C) 24. Meerstadt J. 26. van der Heide A. 28. Boersma B. 11. El Kadiri I.
Substitutes
99. Butera E. 22. Kalokoh D. 15. Kasanwirjo K. 12. Setford C. (G) 98. van der Lans M. . van der Vaart D. 25. Vink S.
20. Braem T. 18. Bultman S. 22. de Jong F. 25. Jonkers R. (G) 17. Kaninda N. 12. Kremers S. (G) 33. Rijks M. 5. Schoppema L. 9. Theodoridis D.
Coaches
Weijs W.
Dijkhuizen M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Niemeijer R. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Unuvar E. ⚽, O'Niel D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bounida R. ↓, Vink S. ↑,
57', 2 - 1, Wolff K. ⚽,
61', Symons K. ↓, Schoppema L. ↑,
62', van der Heide A. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
69', Wolff K. 🟨,
70', 2 - 2, de Jong F. ⚽,
71', Johnson J. ↓, van der Lans M. ↑,
71', Muzungu M. ↓, Butera E. ↑,
71', Boersma B. ↓, Rijks M. ↑,
71', Meerstadt J. ↓, Braem T. ↑,
74', Besselink R. 🟨,
78', Unuvar E. 🟨,
80', Unuvar E. ↓, Nash P. ↑,
90+2', Butera E. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 2.
Jong Ajax has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
De Graafschap has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
De Graafschap could have a small edge in this match.
There are questionable in Jong Ajax: Regeer Y.
(Injury)
There are questionable in De Graafschap: Symons K.
(Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 33:36. (average 1.7:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong Ajax won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 2:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
De Graafschap - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.81%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Netherlands
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Reverson P. (G) 
Appiah A. (C) 
Muzungu M. 
Bounida R. 
El Kadiri I. 
Setford C. (G) 
Theodoridis D. 
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