Match Info

NETHERLANDS: KNVB BEKER - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 11 January 2023, Wednesday

Location: Sportpark Zuid (Groesbeek)

Referee: Kooij J. (Ned)


	De Treffers		Cambuur

	1	X	2
	4.5	4	1.73
	3.8	3.8	1.7
	4.25	3.95	1.72
	3.9	3.85	1.72
	4.07	4.14	1.69
	4	3.7	1.73
	4.3	4.15	1.68
	4	3.95	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↑ (4.05)	3.94 ↑ (3.8)	1.71 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

De Treffers
22.6%

Draw
23.5%

Cambuur
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

24.1%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

20.6%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for De Treffers have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Cambuur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for De Treffers than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cambuur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

De Treffers - Cambuur Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. De Treffers will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Cambuur will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cambuur: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

De Treffers is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cambuur is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cambuur could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cambuur is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- De Treffers
Dutch Tweede Divisie
10.12.22	Amsterdamsche FC - De Treffers	2:0 ✺
04.12.22	OFC Oostzaan - De Treffers	1:1 ✺
26.11.22	De Treffers - Quick Boys	2:1 ✺
19.11.22	Scheveningen - De Treffers	0:2 ✺
12.11.22	De Treffers - Noordwijk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTWWW
- Leeuwarden Cambuur
Dutch Eredivisie
08.01.23	Cambuur - Volendam	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
16.12.22	Cambuur - Lille	0:2 ✺
09.12.22	Groningen - Cambuur	1:1 ✺
04.12.22	Cambuur - Heracles Almelo	1:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
13.11.22	Heerenveen - Cambuur	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTTL

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