Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EREDIVISIE - ROUND 14

Date: 13 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Abe Lenstra Stadion (Heerenveen)

Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	Heerenveen		Cambuur

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.8	5	Watch
	1.75	3.7	4.6
	1.74	4	4.4
	1.73	3.65	4.5
	1.76	4.01	4.69
	1.73	3.7	4.5	Watch
	1.72	3.82	4.6	Watch
	1.77	3.8	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.88)	3.81 ↑ (3.72)	4.62 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heerenveen
54.6%

Draw
24.9%

Cambuur
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

25.1%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

24%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Cambuur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	11.8%	11.8%

Heerenveen - Cambuur Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Heerenveen will win (votes: 26 - 76.5%). Cambuur will win (votes: 4 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heerenveen: 62.2% – 90.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).

Heerenveen has the most likely position - 7 (16.32%), has project points - 48, has currently - 20, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Cambuur has the most likely position - 18 (26.09%), has project points - 29, has currently - 8, has a good chance of relegated (60%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 43, small importance 27, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Heerenveen won 3.

Heerenveen is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cambuur is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cambuur could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Heerenveen have a series of guest games.

In this match Heerenveen is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Heerenveen won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Heerenveen won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Heerenveen
Dutch Eredivisie
05.11.22	Excelsior - Heerenveen	0:1 ✺
29.10.22	Heerenveen - Utrecht	1:2 ✺
23.10.22	Volendam - Heerenveen	1:3 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
18.10.22	HSV Hoek - Heerenveen	2:4 ET ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
15.10.22	Go Ahead Eagles - Heerenveen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWWT
- Leeuwarden Cambuur
Dutch Eredivisie
10.11.22	Feyenoord - Cambuur	1:0 ✺
04.11.22	Cambuur - NEC Nijmegen	0:1 ✺
23.10.22	Cambuur - Twente	0:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
19.10.22	Rijnvogels - Cambuur	0:3 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
15.10.22	Cambuur - Vitesse	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
01.05.22	Heerenveen - Cambuur	3:3
19.12.21	Cambuur - Heerenveen	1:2
31.01.16	Cambuur - Heerenveen	0:1
01.11.15	Heerenveen - Cambuur	2:0
15.02.15	Cambuur - Heerenveen	2:1
19.10.14	Heerenveen - Cambuur	2:2
26.01.14	Cambuur - Heerenveen	3:1

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