Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 11

Date: 18 October 2024, Friday

Location: Kooi Stadion (Leeuwarden)

Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 3


	Cambuur		Volendam

	1	X	2
	2.1	4.1	2.9	Watch
	2.1	3.75	2.8
	2.1	4	3	Watch
	2.13	4.01	3.1
	2.12	3.87	2.98	Watch
	2.05	3.75	2.88
	2.12	3.92	2.95	Watch
	2.1	4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.52)	3.93 ↑ (3.69)	2.95 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambuur
44.5%

Draw
23.8%

Volendam
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

25.3%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

25.7%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambuur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cambuur's performance.

Volendam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Volendam might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cambuur that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Volendam could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Cambuur - Volendam Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cambuur will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Volendam will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cambuur: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jansen T. (G) 26. Mercera T. 6. van Mullem J. 20. Nieling B. 5. Poll T. 29. Pauwels B. 12. Diemers M. 17. Nartey M. 19. de Leeuw M. 18. Rolke T. 7. Balk R.	20. van Oevelen K. (G) 23. Curiel G. 4. Mbuyamba X. 3. Amevor M. 32. Leliendal Y. 7. Ould-Chikh B. 6. Plat A. 8. Jacobs Ja. 11. Oehlers A. 9. Veerman H. 21. Muhren R.
Substitutes
9. Afolabi J. 11. Alhaft I. 10. de Jong F. 27. Kooistra W. 25. Marsman B. 23. Minnema B. (G) 15. Ottesen S. 44. Potma S. 33. Priem J. 22. Reiziger D. (G) 28. Souren N.	25. Blondeau L. 15. Bouziane A. 18. Bukala N. 27. Hoeve Q. 10. Kuwas B. 22. Lauwers B. (G) 28. Manu E. 19. Mau-Asam M. 16. Ngom K. (G) 12. Payne D. 14. Steur D.
Coaches
de Jong H.	Kruys R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Muhren R. ⚽, Ould-Chikh B. (A),
35', de Leeuw M. 🟨,
41', Amevor M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Rolke T. ↓, Alhaft I. ↑,
52', van Oevelen K. 🟨,
53', 1 - 1, de Leeuw M. (Pen),
56', Curiel G. ↓, Payne D. ↑,
56', Oehlers A. ↓, Mau-Asam M. ↑,
64', Poll T. ↓, Marsman B. ↑,
64', de Leeuw M. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
70', Nieling B. 🟨,
72', Veerman H. ↓, Kuwas B. ↑,
75', Mercera T. ↓, Ottesen S. ↑,
75', Nartey M. ↓, Souren N. ↑,
88', Muhren R. ↓, Manu E. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 2, Kuwas B. ⚽, Ould-Chikh B. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cambuur won 1.

Recent matches Cambuur is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Volendam is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cambuur will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Cambuur: Caschili G. (Knee Injury) Schaapman M. (Knee Injury)

Last 18 head-to-head matches Cambuur won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 26:26 (average 1.4:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Cambuur won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14:22 (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeuwarden Cambuur
Dutch Eerste Divisie
04.10.24	VVV-Venlo - Cambuur	0:1 ✺
29.09.24	Cambuur - Emmen	1:3 ✺
23.09.24	Jong Utrecht - Cambuur	0:4 ✺
16.09.24	Cambuur - Roda	0:0 ✺
13.09.24	Cambuur - Jong Ajax	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWTL
- FC Volendam
Dutch Eerste Divisie
04.10.24	Vitesse - Volendam	1:2 ✺
27.09.24	Volendam - VVV-Venlo	2:4 ✺
20.09.24	Helmond Sport - Volendam	2:3 ✺
17.09.24	Volendam - Dordrecht	2:0 ✺
13.09.24	MVV Maastricht - Volendam	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
21.04.23	Volendam - Cambuur	2:0
08.01.23	Cambuur - Volendam	0:3
Dutch Eerste Divisie
02.04.21	Volendam - Cambuur	0:3
08.01.21	Cambuur - Volendam	0:1
Club Friendly
14.08.20	Cambuur - Volendam	0:4
Dutch Eerste Divisie
10.01.20	Cambuur - Volendam	1:2
27.09.19	Volendam - Cambuur	0:4

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