Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello (Gobernador Julio A. Costa)

Referee: Pafundi J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Defensa y Justicia		Argentinos Juniors

	1	X	2
	3.7	2.85	2.2	Watch
	2.45	3	2.95
	3.9	2.92	2.15	Watch
	3.8	3.01	2.27
	3.64	3.09	2.17	Watch
	3.76	2.95	2.29	Watch
	3.4	2.96	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↑ (2.25)	2.97 ↓ (3.3)	2.31 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensa y Justicia
27%

Draw
32%

Argentinos Juniors
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

28.3%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

29.5%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensa y Justicia's form might have worsened.

Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Argentinos Juniors's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensa y Justicia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Argentinos Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	23.5%	58.8%

Defensa y Justicia - Argentinos Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Argentinos Juniors: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Defensa y Justicia (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Argentinos Juniors (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Defensa y Justicia (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Defensa y Justicia (votes: 4 - 50%). Argentinos Juniors (votes: 4 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Bologna E. (G) 14. Cannavo E. 6. Ferreira L. 29. Fernandez D. 34. Delgado R. 3. Soto A. 5. Gutierrez K. (C) 10. Molinas A. 20. Gonzalez L. 7. Osorio A. 24. Gutierrez J.	50. Rodriguez D. (C) 22. Lozano L. 16. Alvarez F. 4. Godoy E. 20. Prieto S. 8. Gomez L. 24. Fattori F. 11. Oroz N. 10. Lescano A. 23. Lopez H. 27. Molina T.
Substitutes
23. Aguiar M. 19. Barbona D. 17. Hausch A. 11. Lenny Lobato 2. Lucero S. 1. Masuero F. (G) 21. Miranda M. 38. Rubio T. 35. Schamine B. 22. Sosa S. 13. Souto L. 15. Stefanelli N.	26. Bravo C. 5. Cardozo J. 14. Coronel K. 21. Florentin G. 28. Gho J. 7. Giaccone L. 42. Ovando L. 47. Porcel D. 25. Riquelme R. D. 12. Siri Payer G. (G) 18. Sosa I. 29. Viveros E.
Coaches
Soso M.	Diez N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Alvarez F. 🟨,
32', Molinas A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gomez L. ↓, Porcel D. ↑,
46', Oroz N. ↓, Gho J. ↑,
46', Rodriguez D. ↓, Siri Payer G. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Gutierrez J. ⚽, Gonzalez L. (A),
56', Osorio A. 🟨,
64', Molinas A. ↓, Hausch A. ↑,
64', Gonzalez L. ↓, Miranda M. ↑,
68', Lopez H. ↓, Sosa I. ↑,
75', Prieto S. ↓, Ovando L. ↑,
75', Gutierrez J. ↓, Barbona D. ↑,
89', Osorio A. ↓, Schamine B. ↑,
90', Miranda M. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 2.

In recent matches, Defensa y Justicia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Argentinos Juniors is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Argentinos Juniors could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Hausch A. (Muscle Injury) Perez C. (Knee Injury) Sosa M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Argentinos Juniors: Antoni M. (Inactive) Gimenez M. (Knee Injury) Palacio T. (Inactive) Sanchez L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Defensa y Justicia: Miritello J. B. (Illness)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Defensa y Justicia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Defensa y Justicia - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.53%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.10.25	Tigre - Defensa y Justicia	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors	2:1 ✺
22.09.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Defensa y Justicia	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Defensa y Justicia - Platense	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Defensa y Justicia - Belgrano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWLLW
- Argentinos Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.10.25	Argentinos Juniors - Central Córdoba	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Aldosivi - Argentinos Juniors	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Argentinos Juniors - Banfield	3:0 ✺
14.09.25	Instituto Córdoba - Argentinos Juniors	2:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
08.09.25	Argentinos Juniors - Lanús	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.04.25	Argentinos Juniors - Defensa y Justicia	4:1
07.11.24	Defensa y Justicia - Argentinos Juniors	2:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
20.04.24	Argentinos Juniors - Defensa y Justicia	2:1 penalties
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.06.23	Argentinos Juniors - Defensa y Justicia	3:1
15.09.22	Defensa y Justicia - Argentinos Juniors	2:1
Copa Argentina
06.07.22	Argentinos Juniors - Defensa y Justicia	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
14.03.22	Argentinos Juniors - Defensa y Justicia	0:1

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