Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Round 25

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello (Gobernador Julio A. Costa)

Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports
United-kingdom	TNT Sports
World	Fanatiz, TyC Sports Internacional


	Defensa y Justicia		Godoy Cruz

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.85	3.4	4.2
	1.88	3.5	4.05	Watch
	1.91	3.4	4.67
	1.89	3.37	4.46	Watch
	1.95	3.25	4
	1.87	3.48	4.35	Watch
	1.88	3.5	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.98)	3.43 ↑ (3.31)	4.25 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Defensa y Justicia
50.1%

Draw
27.6%

Godoy Cruz
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

28.6%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

28.2%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Godoy Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Godoy Cruz than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	41.7%	0%

Defensa y Justicia - Godoy Cruz Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Defensa y Justicia: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Bologna E. (G) 38. Rubio T. 28. Aguilera E. 6. Ferreira L. 3. Soto A. 5. Gutierrez K. (C) 25. Perez C. 27. Herrera L. 16. Molinas A. 33. Palavecino N. 9. Miritello J. B.	1. Petroli F. (G) 4. Arce L. 26. Mendoza M. 23. Rasmussen F. 43. Moran J. 50. Perez J. 25. Poggi V. 41. Altamira F. 32. Abrego G. 27. Andino S. 19. Rodriguez S.
Substitutes
17. Alanis G. 10. Bogarin R. 26. Caceres D. 14. Cannavo E. 22. Fiermarin C. (G) 24. Gonzalez M. 8. Lopez J. 30. Lopez K. 13. Lucero S. 7. Osorio A. 37. Ramirez M. 35. Schamine B.	36. Barrea D. 6. Canela N. 7. Cejas J. 5. Leyes B. 37. Luciano M. 52. Montivero G. 11. Moreyra G. 22. Pino M. 10. Pozzo T. A. 12. Ramirez R. (G) 16. Santiago M. 8. Valverde A.
Coaches
de Muner P.	Pedernera E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Altamira F. ⚽, Perez J. (A),
29', Gutierrez K. 🟥,
32', Soto A. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Miritello J. B. ⚽, Molinas A. (A),
41', 2 - 1, Miritello J. B. ⚽, Palavecino N. (A),
45+5', Andino S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Palavecino N. ↓, Schamine B. ↑,
57', Arce L. ↓, Pino M. ↑,
65', Rubio T. 🟨,
70', Perez J. ↓, Moreyra G. ↑,
70', Poggi V. ↓, Pozzo T. A. ↑,
77', Molinas A. ↓, Cannavo E. ↑,
78', Herrera L. 🟨,
80', Andino S. ↓, Barrea D. ↑,
81', Moran J. ↓, Luciano M. ↑,
86', Herrera L. ↓, Bogarin R. ↑,
86', Perez C. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
90', Miritello J. B. ↓, Osorio A. ↑,
90+2', Rasmussen F. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 0.

Defensa y Justicia is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Godoy Cruz is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Defensa y Justicia is a favorite.

There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Togni G. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Godoy Cruz: Butti F. (Injury) Fernandez N. (Injury) Ulariaga S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Defensa y Justicia: Sosa M. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Defensa y Justicia to win the game is with odds 1.91.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:14 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Defensa y Justicia won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.5:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.11.24	Lanús - Defensa y Justicia	0:0 ✺
18.11.24	Defensa y Justicia - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
11.11.24	Tigre - Defensa y Justicia	0:4 ✺
07.11.24	Defensa y Justicia - Argentinos Juniors	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	Belgrano - Defensa y Justicia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 TTWWW
- Godoy Cruz
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.11.24	Godoy Cruz - Vélez Sársfield	0:0 ✺
18.11.24	Platense - Godoy Cruz	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Godoy Cruz - Talleres de Córdoba	0:1 ✺
06.11.24	Boca Juniors - Godoy Cruz	4:1 ✺
31.10.24	Godoy Cruz - Atlético Tucumán	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
28.01.24	Godoy Cruz - Defensa y Justicia	2:0
11.09.23	Defensa y Justicia - Godoy Cruz	2:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.07.23	Godoy Cruz - Defensa y Justicia	2:2
20.06.22	Godoy Cruz - Defensa y Justicia	2:1
25.07.21	Defensa y Justicia - Godoy Cruz	1:2
08.12.19	Defensa y Justicia - Godoy Cruz	2:0
01.10.18	Godoy Cruz - Defensa y Justicia	0:1

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