Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Round 21

Date: 6 November 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Alberto J. Armando (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Penel A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App
Argentina	TNT Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	ESPN 4
Chile	ESPN
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Sportitalia
Nigeria	Sporty TV
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-america	ESPN South
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
United-kingdom	TNT Sports
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	ESPN, Inter
World	Disney+, Fanatiz, TyC Sports Internacional


	Boca Juniors		Godoy Cruz

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.2	4.75	Watch
	1.78	3.25	4.8
	1.78	3.4	4.85	Watch
	1.81	3.36	5.3
	1.85	3.39	4.68	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.8
	1.76	3.48	5.1	Watch
	1.78	3.4	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.83)	3.36 ↓ (3.39)	4.89 ↑ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors
52.6%

Draw
28.1%

Godoy Cruz
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

27.7%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

31.4%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Godoy Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boca Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Godoy Cruz than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.2%	19%	4.8%

Boca Juniors - Godoy Cruz Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Godoy Cruz will win (votes: 1 - 4.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 58% – 94.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Brey L. (G) 24. Barinaga J. 38. Anselmino A. 6. Rojo M. 3. Saracchi M. 8. Fernandez G. 21. Miramon I. 30. Belmonte T. 7. Zeballos E. 10. Cavani E. (C) 33. Aguirre B.	1. Petroli F. (G) 4. Arce L. 2. Barrios P. (C) 23. Rasmussen F. 21. Pereyra E. 13. Fernandez N. 5. Leyes B. 32. Abrego G. 36. Barrea D. 19. Rodriguez S. 27. Andino S.
Substitutes
17. Advincula L. 23. Blanco L. 51. Dalmasso S. 43. Delgado M. 18. Fabra F. 4. Figal J. 9. Gimenez M. 19. Martegani A. 5. Medel G. 16. Miguel Merentiel 1. Romero S. (G) 53. Ruiz J.	30. Ardiles F. 26. Mendoza M. 43. Moran J. 11. Moreyra G. 22. Pino M. 25. Poggi V. 10. Pozzo T. A. 12. Ramirez R. (G) 15. Salvareschi B. 16. Santiago M. 28. Torres G. 8. Valverde A.
Coaches
Gago F.	Oldra D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Fernandez N. ⚽,
9', 1 - 1, Aguirre B. ⚽,
22', 2 - 1, Cavani E. ⚽,
23', Leyes B. 🟨,
33', Rojo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Leyes B. ↓, Poggi V. ↑,
48', 3 - 1, Saracchi M. ⚽, Anselmino A. (A),
73', Barrea D. ↓, Pozzo T. A. ↑,
77', Belmonte T. ↓, Delgado M. ↑,
77', Cavani E. ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
77', Aguirre B. ↓, Miguel Merentiel ↑,
79', Arce L. 🟨,
82', 4 - 1, Zeballos E. ⚽, Miguel Merentiel (A),
84', Arce L. ↓, Mendoza M. ↑,
84', Fernandez N. ↓, Valverde A. ↑,
85', Miramon I. ↓, Dalmasso S. ↑,
89', Rodriguez S. ↓, Pino M. ↑,
89', Zeballos E. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 3.

Recent matches Boca Juniors is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Godoy Cruz is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Godoy Cruz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Boca Juniors is a favorite.

There will not play in Boca Juniors: Blondel L. (Injury) Lema C. (Injury) Miguel Merentiel (Injury) Zenon K. (Injury)

There will not play in Godoy Cruz: Altamira F. (Injury) Butti F. (Injury) Luciano M. (Injury) Ulariaga S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Boca Juniors: Janson L. (Muscle Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 14 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 41:21 (average 2.1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Boca Juniors won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 25:8 (average 2.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Boca Juniors - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 51.3%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.11.24	Lanús - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
27.10.24	Boca Juniors - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
23.10.24	Boca Juniors - Gimnasia La Plata	2:1 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.10.24	Tigre - Boca Juniors	3:0 ✺
06.10.24	Boca Juniors - Argentinos Juniors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTWLW
- Godoy Cruz
Argentinian Liga Profesional
31.10.24	Godoy Cruz - Atlético Tucumán	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Independiente - Godoy Cruz	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	Godoy Cruz - Newells Old Boys	2:0 ✺
12.10.24	Godoy Cruz - San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Gimnasia La Plata - Godoy Cruz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
16.04.24	Boca Juniors - Godoy Cruz	1:0
26.11.23	Godoy Cruz - Boca Juniors	1:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.06.23	Godoy Cruz - Boca Juniors	4:0
23.09.22	Godoy Cruz - Boca Juniors	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
20.04.22	Boca Juniors - Godoy Cruz	1:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.10.21	Boca Juniors - Godoy Cruz	2:1
Argentinian Copa de la Superliga
14.03.20	Godoy Cruz - Boca Juniors	1:4

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