Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 14

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello (Gobernador Julio A. Costa)

Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN, ESPN Premium
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Defensa y Justicia		Huracán Buenos Aires

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.95	3.05	Watch
	2.45	2.92	3.2
	2.48	2.91	3.12	Watch
	2.45	2.95	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (1.99)	2.93 ↓ (3.25)	3.11 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensa y Justicia
38%

Draw
31.9%

Huracán Buenos Aires
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

28.8%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

27.9%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensa y Justicia's form might have worsened.

Huracán Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Huracán Buenos Aires's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensa y Justicia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Huracán Buenos Aires, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	27.3%	9.1%

Defensa y Justicia - Huracán Buenos Aires Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Huracán will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Defensa y Justicia: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Defensa y Justicia (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Defensa y Justicia (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Bologna E. (G) 14. Cannavo E. 6. Ferreira L. 29. Fernandez D. 34. Delgado R. 3. Soto A. 35. Schamine B. 20. Gonzalez L. 10. Molinas A. 24. Gutierrez J. 7. Osorio A.	1. Galindez H. (G) 29. De La Fuente H. 6. Pereyra F. 30. Paz N. 25. Ibanez C. 20. Ojeda E. 5. Perez L. 31. Waller Martiarena F. F. 10. Miljevic M. 26. Sequeira L. 23. Gimenez L.
Substitutes
23. Aguiar M. 19. Barbona D. 17. Hausch A. 11. Lenny Lobato 2. Lucero S. 1. Masuero F. (G) 21. Miranda M. 9. Miritello J. B. 26. Noguera F. 38. Rubio T. 22. Sosa S. 15. Stefanelli N.	9. Abila R. 21. Bisanz J. 3. Carrizo L. 2. Goitea N. 24. Guidara T. 19. Lescano L. 32. Meza S. (G) 41. Mora L. 15. Nervo H. 43. Ramirez E. 7. Tissera M. 11. Urzi A.
Coaches
Soso M.	Kudelka F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Gimenez L. ⚽, Miljevic M. (A),
33', Ibanez C. 🟨,
43', Gonzalez L. ↓, Barbona D. ↑,
43', Ferreira L. ↓, Hausch A. ↑,
45+1', Schamine B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Schamine B. ↓, Miritello J. B. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Osorio A. ⚽, Molinas A. (A),
53', Soto A. 🟥,
55', Gutierrez J. ↓, Lucero S. ↑,
55', Lucero S. 🟨,
59', De La Fuente H. ↓, Guidara T. ↑,
59', Ojeda E. ↓, Bisanz J. ↑,
64', Ibanez C. ↓, Lescano L. ↑,
64', Sequeira L. ↓, Ramirez E. ↑,
69', Hausch A. ↓, Rubio T. ↑,
72', 1 - 2, Lescano L. ⚽, Guidara T. (A),
77', Cannavo E. 🟨,
82', 1 - 3, Miljevic M. ⚽, Waller Martiarena F. F. (A),
83', Miljevic M. ↓, Carrizo L. ↑,
90+4', Ramirez E. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 0.

Defensa y Justicia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Huracán's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Defensa y Justicia won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.10.25	Unión Santa Fe - Defensa y Justicia	3:0 ✺
10.10.25	Defensa y Justicia - Argentinos Juniors	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Tigre - Defensa y Justicia	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors	2:1 ✺
22.09.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Defensa y Justicia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWTWL
- Huracán Buenos Aires
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.10.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Central Córdoba	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Aldosivi - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Banfield	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:0 ✺
19.09.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Racing	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.04.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Defensa y Justicia	1:1
11.05.24	Huracán Buenos Aires - Defensa y Justicia	3:1
27.01.23	Defensa y Justicia - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:4
14.06.22	Defensa y Justicia - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:1
18.07.21	Huracán Buenos Aires - Defensa y Justicia	2:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
14.02.21	Defensa y Justicia - Huracán Buenos Aires	3:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.03.16	Defensa y Justicia - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:2

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