Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 5

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Balino J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	AFA Play, ESPN 2
Austria	Laola1
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Germany	Laola1
Israel	Sport 4
Mexico	Disney+
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2


	Platense		Boca Juniors

	1	X	2
	5.00	3.00	1.91	Watch
	4.10	3.00	2.00
	4.20	3.00	2.02	Watch
	4.77	3.13	2.02
	3.95	3.05	2.12	Watch
	4.65	3.05	1.94
	4.53	3.05	1.99	Watch
	4.50	3.00	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↑ (3.55)	3.04 ↑ (2.87)	1.99 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Platense
21.2%

Draw
31.2%

Boca Juniors
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

32.4%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Platense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boca Juniors's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	7.7%	92.3%

Platense - Boca Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 77.8% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Cozzani J. (G) 4. Lagos A. 13. Vazquez I. (C) 34. Mendia M. 3. Silva T. 5. Gomez I. 24. Barrios M. 7. Mainero G. 43. Retamar K. 16. Togni G. 20. Gimenez L.	1. Montero A. (G) 17. Lozano L. 2. Di Lollo L. 26. Pellegrino M. 3. Blanco L. 25. Ascacibar S. 5. Paredes L. (C) 18. Delgado M. 10. Aranda T. 19. Flores L. 22. Villa S.
Substitutes
17. Bussio F. 27. Dalmasso S. 26. Ferreira P. 33. Gauto J. 99. Lencina G. 11. Lopez N. 18. Merlini B. 29. Minerva F. 32. Quiros S. 25. Saborido J. 22. Sumavil N. (G) 31. Victor Cuesta 10. Zapiola F.	11. Angel Romero 8. Belmonte T. 27. Braida M. 12. Brey L. (G) 7. Carlos Palacios 32. Costa A. 4. Figal J. 24. Gorosito D. 16. Miguel Merentiel 23. Rey Domenech C. 20. Velasco A. 21. Zenon K.
Coaches
Palermo M.	Arruabarrena R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Silva T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Paredes L. ↓, Miguel Merentiel ↑,
46', Pellegrino M. ↓, Costa A. ↑,
53', 1 - 0, Retamar K. ⚽,
65', Togni G. ↓, Minerva F. ↑,
65', Silva T. ↓, Quiros S. ↑,
65', Mainero G. ↓, Merlini B. ↑,
68', Delgado M. 🟨,
70', Lozano L. ↓, Gorosito D. ↑,
74', Villa S. ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
75', Gimenez L. ↓, Lencina G. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Miguel Merentiel ⚽, Ascacibar S. (A),
84', Gomez I. ↓, Ferreira P. ↑,
84', Ascacibar S. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platense won 1.

Recent performances by Platense have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Boca Juniors is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Boca Juniors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Boca Juniors is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Platense: Amarfil M. (Back Injury) Gomez I. (Inactive) Goni G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ingenthron C. (Shoulder Injury) Lencina G. (Inactive) Lotti A. (Back Injury) Minerva F. (Muscle Injury) Nasif T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Boca Juniors: Bareiro A. (Lower Back Injury) Battaglia R. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Marchesin A. (Knee Injury) Zeballos E. (Inactive)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Platense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Platense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Platense - the odds 3.55 are the expected chance of winning is 26.18%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Boca Juniors - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.44%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Platense
Copa Libertadores
12.08.26	Platense - Coquimbo Unido	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.08.26	Independiente - Platense	0:1 ✺
03.08.26	Platense - Talleres de Córdoba	0:4 ✺
29.07.26	Instituto Córdoba - Platense	2:1 ✺
24.07.26	Platense - Unión Santa Fe	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TWLLT
- Boca Juniors
Copa Sudamericana
11.08.26	Boca Juniors - Deportivo Recoleta	3:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.08.26	Boca Juniors - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
05.08.26	Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Newells Old Boys - Boca Juniors	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.07.26	OHiggins - Boca Juniors	1:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.02.26	Boca Juniors - Platense	0:0
02.06.24	Platense - Boca Juniors	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
27.01.24	Platense - Boca Juniors	0:0
18.08.23	Boca Juniors - Platense	3:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.02.23	Boca Juniors - Platense	3:1
06.08.22	Boca Juniors - Platense	2:1
25.08.21	Platense - Boca Juniors	1:3

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