Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello (Gobernador Julio A. Costa)

Referee: Echenique F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Defensa y Justicia		Vélez Sársfield

	1	X	2
	3.75	2.75	2.25	Watch
	3.65	2.78	2.35	Watch
	3.85	2.89	2.36
	3.69	2.92	2.28
	3.5	2.7	2.3
	3.66	2.81	2.28	Watch
	3.66	2.85	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (2.57)	2.81 ↓ (3)	2.3 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensa y Justicia
25.6%

Draw
33.5%

Vélez Sársfield
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

31.1%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensa y Justicia's form might have worsened.

Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vélez Sársfield's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	20%	73.3%

Defensa y Justicia - Vélez Sársfield Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 54% – 99.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Vélez (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vélez Sársfield will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Vélez (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Fiermarin C. (G) 33. Souto L. 6. Amor E. 29. Fernandez D. 16. Portillo A. 15. Sosa S. 10. Molinas A. 2. Lucero S. 20. Botta R. (C) 9. Miritello J. B. 24. Gutierrez J.	12. Montero A. (G) 4. Garcia J. 2. Mammana E. 16. Magallan L. 3. Gomez E. (C) 50. Andrada T. 5. Baeza C. 11. Pellegrini M. 10. Valdes D. 22. Lanzini M. 23. Monzon F.
Substitutes
23. Aguiar M. 25. Altamira F. 36. Amade L. (G) 11. Banega E. 19. Barbona D. 26. Caceres D. 30. Fernandez D. 17. Hausch A. 55. Lopez J. 28. Loza V. 27. Pereyra E. 32. Roselli N.	29. Aliendro R. 35. Arias M. 19. Cristaldo L. 49. Dominguez D. 15. Godoy D. 39. Machuca I. 1. Marchiori T. (G) 6. Quiros A. 8. Robertone L. 32. Silvero T. 17. Veron A.
Coaches
Soso M.	Barros Schelotto G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Gutierrez J. ⚽, Molinas A. (A),
20', Valdes D. ↓, Godoy D. ↑,
40', Lanzini M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Botta R. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
49', Pellegrini M. 🟨,
60', 1 - 1, Pellegrini M. ⚽,
67', Miritello J. B. ↓, Hausch A. ↑,
67', Lucero S. ↓, Altamira F. ↑,
76', Altamira F. 🟨,
77', Pellegrini M. ↓, Robertone L. ↑,
79', Gutierrez J. ↓, Barbona D. ↑,
87', Monzon F. ↓, Aliendro R. ↑,
87', Lanzini M. ↓, Machuca I. ↑,
89', Molinas A. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 0.

Defensa y Justicia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Recently, Defensa y Justicia has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Martinez D. (Injury) Osorio A. (Injury) Perez C. (Knee Injury) Sosa M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Vélez: Escobar S. (Inactive) Gordon J. (Inactive) Romero B. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Defensa y Justicia won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.02.26	Newells Old Boys - Defensa y Justicia	2:3 ✺
02.02.26	Defensa y Justicia - Estudiantes La Plata	0:0 ✺
29.01.26	Deportivo Riestra - Defensa y Justicia	0:1 ✺
22.01.26	Aldosivi - Defensa y Justicia	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.01.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Defensa y Justicia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTWTW
- Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.02.26	Vélez Sársfield - Boca Juniors	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Independiente - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Vélez Sársfield - Talleres de Córdoba	2:1 ✺
22.01.26	Instituto Córdoba - Vélez Sársfield	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Vélez Sársfield - Argentinos Juniors	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.08.24	Vélez Sársfield - Defensa y Justicia	3:0
30.03.23	Defensa y Justicia - Vélez Sársfield	0:0
25.06.22	Defensa y Justicia - Vélez Sársfield	1:1
28.07.21	Vélez Sársfield - Defensa y Justicia	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
28.03.21	Defensa y Justicia - Vélez Sársfield	1:1
Club Friendly
15.11.19	Vélez Sársfield - Defensa y Justicia	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.09.19	Vélez Sársfield - Defensa y Justicia	0:1

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