Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 1

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)

Referee: Zamora E. D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Aldosivi		Defensa y Justicia

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.57	3.3	Watch
	2.5	3	2.9
	2.7	2.75	3.05	Watch
	2.67	2.85	3.06	Watch
	2.5	2.63	3.1
	2.74	2.66	3.34	Watch
	2.71	2.71	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.52)	2.74 ↓ (2.79)	3.12 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldosivi
35.6%

Draw
34.3%

Defensa y Justicia
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

33.4%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Aldosivi - Defensa y Justicia Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Aldosivi will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aldosivi: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Defensa y Justicia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Defensa y Justicia (1.97) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.25 - Defensa y Justicia (1.69) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Defensa y Justicia (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Werner A. (G) 4. Gonzalez R. 16. Morello M. 6. Novillo J. 3. Roman F. 55. Garcia M. 13. Gino F. (C) 5. Bochi R. 8. Rolon E. 7. Guzman N. 11. Palavecino A.	22. Fiermarin C. (G) 29. Fernandez D. 21. Martinez D. (C) 33. Souto L. 16. Portillo A. 20. Botta R. 15. Sosa S. 27. Pereyra E. 55. Lopez J. 24. Gutierrez J. 9. Miritello J. B.
Substitutes
31. Acosta I. 23. Chicco I. (G) 19. Cordero N. 77. Da Luz M. 22. De La Vega F. 27. Fernandez T. 47. Juarez D. 99. Laurelli F. 32. Leys F. 18. Rodriguez L. 10. Sosa A. 30. Villarreal A.	23. Aguiar M. 36. Amade L. (G) 11. Banega E. 19. Barbona D. 30. Fernandez D. 17. Hausch A. 77. Lenny Lobato 2. Lucero S. 7. Osorio A. 32. Roselli N.
Coaches
Farre G.	Soso M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Bochi R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Morello M. 🟨,
64', Gutierrez J. ↓, Osorio A. ↑,
69', Guzman N. ↓, Fernandez T. ↑,
69', Garcia M. ↓, Sosa A. ↑,
70', Novillo J. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
76', Pereyra E. ↓, Aguiar M. ↑,
76', Botta R. ↓, Lucero S. ↑,
83', Rolon E. 🟨,
84', Rolon E. ↓, Villarreal A. ↑,
84', Bochi R. ↓, Leys F. ↑,
90+4', Fernandez D. ↓, Roselli N. ↑,
90+4', Miritello J. B. ↓, Hausch A. ↑,
90+9', Gino F. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aldosivi won 1.

Defensa y Justicia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Aldosivi: Breitenbruch N. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez E. (Inactive) Sosa A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Barbona D. (Inactive) Fernandez D. (Inactive) Hausch A. (Injury) Perez C. (Knee Injury) Sosa M. (Inactive)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Aldosivi won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:29. (average 0.8:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Aldosivi won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.5:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.11.25	Aldosivi - San Martín de San Juan	4:2 ✺
09.11.25	Banfield - Aldosivi	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Aldosivi - Independiente Rivadavia	3:1 ✺
17.10.25	Racing - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Aldosivi - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WWWLW
- Defensa y Justicia
Club Friendly
08.01.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Defensa y Justicia	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.11.25	Defensa y Justicia - Independiente Rivadavia	0:2 ✺
08.11.25	Racing - Defensa y Justicia	1:0 ✺
03.11.25	Defensa y Justicia - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:3 ✺
21.10.25	Unión Santa Fe - Defensa y Justicia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.07.25	Defensa y Justicia - Aldosivi	2:0
30.01.25	Aldosivi - Defensa y Justicia	0:5
11.07.22	Defensa y Justicia - Aldosivi	3:2
09.08.21	Aldosivi - Defensa y Justicia	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
14.01.21	Defensa y Justicia - Aldosivi	4:4
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.10.19	Aldosivi - Defensa y Justicia	1:0
04.03.19	Aldosivi - Defensa y Justicia	0:1

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