The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensores Unidos 30.6%
Draw 34.2%
Comunicaciones 35.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.7%
33.7%
31.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.2%
33.2%
32.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Comunicaciones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comunicaciones than the current prediction. (-3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
Defensores Unidos - Comunicaciones Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Defensores Unidos will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Comunicaciones will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Henricot F. (G) 4. Alarcon M. N. 11. D'Andrea F. 8. Girard T. 2. Lopez J. 9. Lopez M. 10. Montani L. 3. Olivera L. 7. Ortigoza M. 5. Redondo K. 6. Suarez F.
1. Yacaruso G. (G) 8. Carruega I. 3. Di Lena F. 2. Fabello F. 7. Heidenreich J. 10. Ibanez J. (C) 4. Jaque G. 5. Puigdellivol C. 11. Ramirez E. 9. Sosa S. 6. Zabala G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Puigdellivol C. 🟨,
35', Yacaruso G. 🟨,
37', Lopez J. 🟥,
37', Zabala G. 🟥,
43', 0 - 1, Heidenreich J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Herrera S. ↓, Baigorria A. ↑,
46', Ramirez E. ↓, Mattia F. ↑,
50', Carruega I. 🟨,
62', Sosa S. ↓, Vazquez C. ↑,
63', Lopez M. ↓, D'Andrea F. ↑,
69', Girard T. 🟨,
83', Carruega I. ↓, Brambillo M. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Defensores Unidos won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Defensores Unidos won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Comunicaciones
38
14
13
11
39:34
5
55
18
Defensores Unidos
38
9
14
15
33:39
-6
41
Last Results with these Odds
Defensores Unidos - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 34.67%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Comunicaciones - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 31.67%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.