The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Defensores Unidos 38.6%
Draw 32.3%
Deportivo Merlo 29.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.5%
32.8%
29.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.1%
32.3%
29.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensores Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Deportivo Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Defensores Unidos - Deportivo Merlo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Henricot F. (G) 10. Gimenez M. 7. Girard T. 2. Lopez J. 9. Lopez M. 3. Olivera L. 4. Ortigoza M. 11. Patroni S. 5. Redondo K. 6. Suarez F. 8. Tello H.
1. Figueroa T. (G) 8. Aguerre F. 9. Aguirre D. E. 5. Benitez F. 10. Cuenca C. 7. Da Rosa J. E. 2. Figueredo L. 11. Maguicha D. 6. Minnicelli A. 4. Vallejo L. 3. Velasco A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Tello H. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Cuenca C. ⚽,
28', Minnicelli A. 🟨,
42', Benitez F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Patroni S. ↓, Montani L. ↑,
55', Cuenca C. ↓, Sandoval I. ↑,
55', Aguerre F. ↓, Barrientos L. ↑,
55', Aguirre D. E. ↓, Ojeda G. ↑,
58', Girard T. ↓, D'Andrea F. ↑,
61', Sandoval I. 🟨,
78', Figueredo L. 🟨,
83', Da Rosa J. E. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
87', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+1', Benitez F. ↓, Sineiro C. ↑,
90+1', Redondo K. 🟥,
90+2', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensores Unidos won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Defensores Unidos won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Defensores Unidos won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).