Match Info

Primera B - Round 11

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox (Zarate)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Defensores Unidos		Sportivo Italiano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	2.52	2.58	Watch
	3.39	2.52	2.7
	3.34	2.42	2.63	Watch
	3.1	2.5	2.5
	3.37	2.41	2.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.84)	2.47 ↓ (2.8)	2.6 (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores Unidos
28%

Draw
36.9%

Sportivo Italiano
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

32.6%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

32.7%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Sportivo Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Sportivo Italiano aligns with the current prediction.

Defensores Unidos - Sportivo Italiano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Henricot F. (G) 10. Gimenez M. 7. Girard T. 2. Lopez J. 9. Lopez M. 3. Olivera L. 4. Ortigoza M. 5. Redondo K. 11. Sombra A. 6. Suarez F. 8. Tello H.	1. Yordan G. (G) 4. Bifiguer C. 8. Cenci B. 7. Centurion F. 3. Fantino L. 10. Gomez F. 11. Laborda L. 9. Landaburu M. 2. Merzario E. 6. Ordonez C. 5. Rivero J.
Substitutes
13. Baigorria A. 20. D'Andrea F. 15. Ferreyra T. 16. Gomez Z. 18. Herrera S. 14. Lorenzo A. 17. Montani L. 19. Pedraza L. 12. Salerno F. (G)	12. Alastra A. (G) 20. Caceres P. 13. Di Massimo F. 14. Durante P. 18. Fortino R. 19. Gimenez K. 17. Guerra A. 15. Larrosa N. 16. Zurita A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Olivera L. 🟨,
14', Cenci B. 🟨,
31', Sombra A. 🟨,
45+1', Suarez F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Gomez F. ↓, Gimenez K. ↑,
53', Cenci B. ↓, Guerra A. ↑,
59', Redondo K. 🟨,
60', Girard T. ↓, Pedraza L. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Gimenez M. ⚽,
67', Centurion F. 🟨,
68', Fantino L. ↓, Durante P. ↑,
68', Centurion F. ↓, Caceres P. ↑,
70', Sombra A. ↓, Montani L. ↑,
74', Rivero J. 🟨,
79', Landaburu M. ↓, Zurita A. ↑,
81', 🟨,
82', 🟨,
83', 2 - 0, Lopez M. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Defensores Unidos won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Defensores Unidos won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Sportivo Italiano	38	18	11	9	45:28	17	65
18	Defensores Unidos	38	9	14	15	33:39	-6	41

Last Results with these Odds

Defensores Unidos - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.19%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera B
11.04.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Defensores Unidos	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Defensores Unidos - Villa San Carlos	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Liniers - Defensores Unidos	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Defensores Unidos - Real Pilar	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	UAI Urquiza - Defensores Unidos	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWTLT
- Sportivo Italiano
Argentinian Primera B
11.04.26	Sportivo Italiano - Comunicaciones	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Sportivo Dock Sud - Sportivo Italiano	1:3 ✺
29.03.26	Sportivo Italiano - Deportivo Merlo	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Deportivo Camioneros - Sportivo Italiano	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Sportivo Italiano - Ituzaingó	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
05.03.18	Defensores Unidos - Sportivo Italiano	2:2
29.09.17	Sportivo Italiano - Defensores Unidos	2:1
28.04.17	Defensores Unidos - Sportivo Italiano	3:1
17.10.16	Sportivo Italiano - Defensores Unidos	2:0

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