The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensores Unidos 13.4%
Draw 37.6%
Temperley 48.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.8%
35.1%
38.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.6%
34.8%
38.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensores Unidos's form might have worsened.
Temperley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Temperley's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensores Unidos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Temperley than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Temperley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Temperley (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Temperley (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Aquino M. (G) 9. Aguirre D. E. 4. Arguello J. 10. Gimenez M. 2. Laumann F. 3. Olivera L. 8. Ortiz B. 7. Patroni S. 6. Rassol F. 5. Sanchez S. 11. Trinidad E.
1. Mastrolia E. (G) 3. Aguinagalde V. 6. Arregui A. 9. Ayunta F. 7. Brandan F. 2. Duarte B. 11. Genez N. 8. Hauche G. 4. Monti L. 10. Nieto L. 5. Toledo A.
Substitutes
15. Basualdo N. 18. Ceratto L. 14. Ferreyra T. 12. Gonzalez E. (G) 17. Juarez R. 13. Marchesini F. 19. Salvo D. 16. Tello J. 20. Toledo A.
19. Carrasco J. 14. Casarico P. 16. Frias J. 20. Lopez L. 15. Magallanes D. 12. Morrone L. (G) 13. Peralta I. 18. Pombo C. 17. Romero M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Olivera L. 🟨,
45', Sanchez S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Arregui A. 🟨,
60', Hauche G. ↓, Carrasco J. ↑,
60', Ayunta F. ↓, Lopez L. ↑,
63', Olivera L. 🟨,
67', Patroni S. ↓, Ferreyra T. ↑,
71', Aguirre D. E. ↓, Ceratto L. ↑,
71', Sanchez S. ↓, Toledo A. ↑,
76', Toledo A. 🟨,
79', Arguello J. ↓, Salvo D. ↑,
79', Brandan F. ↓, Magallanes D. ↑,
79', Monti L. ↓, Pombo C. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Defensores Unidos is Relegated to
Recent form of Defensores Unidos has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Temperley's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Temperley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Temperley is the team to beat.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensores Unidos won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Defensores Unidos won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
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