Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 30

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox (Zarate)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Defensores Unidos		Deportivo Morón

	1	X	2
	4.33	2.75	2.05	Watch
	3.4	2.8	2.25
	3.5	2.68	2.3	Watch
	4.34	2.82	2.15
	3.91	2.78	2.20	Watch
	3.57	2.67	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (3.55)	2.75 ↓ (2.79)	2.22 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores Unidos
24.2%

Draw
33.8%

Deportivo Morón
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

33.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

31.6%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Deportivo Morón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Defensores Unidos - Deportivo Morón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aquino M. (G) 4. Ferreyra T. 2. Laumann F. 6. Marchesini F. 3. Olivera L. 7. Patroni S. 5. Ortiz B. 8. Sanchez S. 11. Trinidad E. 10. Gimenez M. (C) 9. Ceratto L.	1. Finochietto L. (G) 4. Cabrera J. M. 2. Lorenzon F. 6. Vazquez F. 3. Livera J. 8. Franco E. 5. Ferreira P. (C) 11. Kubiszyn S. 10. Gonzalez Y. 7. Sanguinetti F. 9. Costantino I.
Substitutes
19. Aguirre D. E. 14. Basualdo N. 17. Carboni B. 16. Di Franco F. 12. Gonzalez E. (G) 18. Juarez R. 13. Rassol F. 15. Tello H. 20. Toledo A.	12. Acuna M. (G) 17. Baez F. 18. Beron J. 14. Burruchaga M. 16. Contreras E. 13. Cortave M. 15. Disanto L. 20. Fergonzi R. 19. Olivares J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Ceratto L. 🟨,
27', Patroni S. 🟨,
31', Franco E. 🟨,
41', Laumann F. 🟨,
42', Ferreira P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Ferreyra T. ↓, Basualdo N. ↑,
65', Franco E. ↓, Beron J. ↑,
68', Sanchez S. ↓, Juarez R. ↑,
68', Ceratto L. ↓, Toledo A. ↑,
76', Ferreira P. ↓, Burruchaga M. ↑,
76', Sanguinetti F. ↓, Contreras E. ↑,
79', Patroni S. ↓, Di Franco F. ↑,
79', Gimenez M. ↓, Carboni B. ↑,
80', Costantino I. ↓, Disanto L. ↑,
80', Gonzalez Y. ↓, Fergonzi R. ↑,
84', 0 - 1, ⚽,
89', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Defensores Unidos has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Deportivo Morón is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Deportivo Morón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Deportivo Morón has had a series of home games.

Deportivo Morón could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensores Unidos won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Defensores Unidos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.08.25	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Defensores Unidos	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Defensores Unidos - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:2 ✺
18.08.25	Defensores de Belgrano - Defensores Unidos	3:1 ✺
09.08.25	Defensores Unidos - Chacarita Juniors	0:0 ✺
03.08.25	San Telmo - Defensores Unidos	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WLLTT
- Deportivo Morón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.08.25	Deportivo Morón - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1 ✺
27.08.25	Deportivo Morón - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Deportivo Morón - Nueva Chicago	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Deportivo Morón	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Deportivo Morón - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.05.25	Deportivo Morón - Defensores Unidos	4:0
10.08.24	Deportivo Morón - Defensores Unidos	1:1
23.03.24	Defensores Unidos - Deportivo Morón	2:0
01.07.23	Deportivo Morón - Defensores Unidos	1:0
26.02.23	Defensores Unidos - Deportivo Morón	2:0

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