Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 32

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox (Zarate)


	Defensores Unidos		Nueva Chicago

	1	X	2
	3	2.65	2.75	Watch
	2.98	2.68	2.62
	3.03	2.86	2.71
	3.44	2.42	2.73	Watch
	2.98	2.68	2.78	Watch
	3	2.8	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↓ (3.41)	2.68 ↑ (2.66)	2.69 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores Unidos
30.4%

Draw
34.9%

Nueva Chicago
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

34.6%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

32.9%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Nueva Chicago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Defensores Unidos - Nueva Chicago Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Defensores Unidos will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Nueva Chicago will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aquino M. (G) 4. Arguello J. 2. Marchesini F. 6. Rassol F. 3. Olivera L. 8. Ortiz B. 5. Sanchez S. 7. Ferreyra T. 11. Trinidad E. 9. Toledo A. 10. Gimenez M.	1. Ferrero F. (G) 4. Martinez A. 2. Rodriguez J. 6. Zalazar C. 3. Abello D. 8. Fernandez G. 5. Mendez E. 10. Cortes B. 11. Arroyo D. 7. Petrecca N. 9. Maggi I.
Substitutes
19. Aguirre D. E. 15. Basualdo N. 17. Carboni B. 14. Carosio T. 12. Gonzalez E. (G) 18. Juarez R. 13. Laumann F. 16. Patroni S. 20. Salvo D.	14. Aguirre A. 18. Gonzalez 16. Molinas I. A. 13. Motroni J. 20. Nouet F. 19. Ocampo T. 17. Ortiz M. 15. Toloza B. 12. Velazquez M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Ferrero F. 🟨,
28', Arroyo D. ↓, Nouet F. ↑,
30', Cortes B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Arguello J. 🟨,
59', Fernandez G. ↓, Motroni J. ↑,
59', Martinez A. ↓, Toloza B. ↑,
61', Toledo A. ↓, Aguirre D. E. ↑,
67', Ferreyra T. ↓, Carboni B. ↑,
76', Petrecca N. 🟨,
78', Carboni B. 🟨,
79', Sanchez S. ↓, Juarez R. ↑,
79', Maggi I. ↓, Ortiz M. ↑,
80', Petrecca N. ↓, Molinas I. A. ↑,
90', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Recent form of Defensores Unidos has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nueva Chicago's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nueva Chicago may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensores Unidos won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Defensores Unidos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.09.25	Estudiantes de Caseros - Defensores Unidos	3:0 ✺
05.09.25	Defensores Unidos - Deportivo Morón	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Defensores Unidos	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Defensores Unidos - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:2 ✺
18.08.25	Defensores de Belgrano - Defensores Unidos	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWLL
- CA Nueva Chicago
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.09.25	Nueva Chicago - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:0 ✺
05.09.25	Estudiantes de Caseros - Nueva Chicago	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Nueva Chicago - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Deportivo Morón - Nueva Chicago	1:0 ✺
18.08.25	Nueva Chicago - Central Norte	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.06.25	Nueva Chicago - Defensores Unidos	1:0
03.08.24	Defensores Unidos - Nueva Chicago	1:2
18.03.24	Nueva Chicago - Defensores Unidos	3:0
06.08.23	Defensores Unidos - Nueva Chicago	0:0
30.03.23	Nueva Chicago - Defensores Unidos	0:0

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