The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Estudiantes de Caseros 73.1%
Draw 17.9%
Defensores Unidos 9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.5%
26.9%
15.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.4%
26%
15.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes de Caseros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estudiantes de Caseros's performance.
Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensores Unidos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-13.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estudiantes de Caseros that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensores Unidos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Estudiantes de Caseros - Defensores Unidos Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. CA Estudiantes will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. CA Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - CA Estudiantes (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. CA Estudiantes (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Budino M. (G) 4. Minervino D. 2. Benitez J. 6. Bernardi B. 3. Lusnig L. 8. Caceres F. 5. Melo R. 11. Squie T. 10. Correa J. (C) 7. Berterame G. 9. Acosta M.
1. Aquino M. (G) 4. Arguello J. 2. Laumann F. (C) 6. Marchesini F. 3. Olivera L. 8. Ortiz B. 5. Sanchez S. 11. Ferreyra T. 7. Juarez R. 9. Ceratto L. 10. Trinidad E.
Substitutes
19. Acosta E. 15. Benitez A. 13. Borges S. 16. Degregorio B. 18. Ramirez S. 17. Rodriguez R. 20. Rostagno D. 14. Silva H. 12. Vila F. (G)
19. Aguirre D. E. 16. Caballo M. 17. Carboni B. 14. Ferulano M. 18. Gimenez M. 12. Gonzalez E. (G) 13. Rassol F. 15. Tello H. 20. Toledo A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Acosta M. ⚽, Correa J. (A),
37', Ceratto L. ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Juarez R. ↓, Toledo A. ↑,
52', Laumann F. 🟨,
55', 2 - 0, Berterame G. ⚽,
60', Sanchez S. ↓, Carboni B. ↑,
60', Olivera L. ↓, Ferulano M. ↑,
67', Squie T. ↓, Acosta E. ↑,
67', Acosta M. ↓, Rostagno D. ↑,
67', Caceres F. ↓, Benitez A. ↑,
72', Melo R. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
75', Marchesini F. 🟨,
78', Minervino D. ↓, Silva H. ↑,
88', Arguello J. 🟨,
90', Rodriguez R. 🟨,
90', Carboni B. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 0, Rostagno D. ⚽,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
CA Estudiantes is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Defensores Unidos is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, CA Estudiantes is the clear favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, CA Estudiantes won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, CA Estudiantes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Argentina
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