The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensores de Belgrano 42.8%
Draw 32.7%
Deportivo Madryn 24.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.1%
33.5%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.6%
34%
31.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Defensores de Belgrano's performance.
Deportivo Madryn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Madryn might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Defensores de Belgrano that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Madryn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Defensores de Belgrano - Deportivo Madryn Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Defensores will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Deportivo Madryn will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Medina A. (G) 4. Gomez B. 2. Gamarra G. 6. Jerez Silva L. 3. Perez I. 5. De Tomasso J. 8. Gutierrez I. 10. Landriel L. 11. Moyano P. 7. Aguirre E. (C) 9. Gonzalez E.
1. Bonnin Y. (C) 4. Cosi J. 2. Ortiz N. D. 6. Gutierrez A. 3. Diarte L. 7. Marinucci L. 5. Recalde F. 8. Machado C. 10. Solis N. 9. Silba L. 11. Servetto N.
Substitutes
20. Ardaiz J. 15. Borsotti N. 18. Ciccolini L. 16. Garcia D. 14. Magallanes D. 12. Nocetti N. (G) 17. Rodriguez L. 13. Rodriguez M. 19. Tcherkaski F.
14. Dionisio A. 17. Jara E. 15. Martinez A. 16. Martinez D. 18. Montagna E. 12. Montero M. (G) 19. Peinipil J. 13. Yossen T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
10', Gutierrez A. 🟨,
32', Gutierrez I. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Gonzalez E. ⚽, Aguirre E. (A),
37', Bonnin Y. 🟨,
37', Solis N. 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Gonzalez E. (Penalty Awarded),
41', Perez I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Jerez Silva L. 🟨,
50', Gamarra G. 🟨,
50', Aguirre E. 🟨,
60', 2 - 1, Solis N. (Penalty Awarded),
63', Cosi J. ↓, Peinipil J. ↑,
63', Ortiz N. D. ↓, Montagna E. ↑,
63', Gutierrez I. ↓, Borsotti N. ↑,
63', Moyano P. ↓, Ciccolini L. ↑,
66', Gomez B. 🟨,
74', Diarte L. ↓, Dionisio A. ↑,
74', Servetto N. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
79', Machado C. ↓, Jara E. ↑,
82', Landriel L. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
82', Aguirre E. ↓, Magallanes D. ↑,
86', Gonzalez E. ↓, Ardaiz J. ↑,
87', Silba L. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Defensores has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Deportivo Madryn is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Defensores may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Defensores is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Defensores won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Defensores won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Madryn - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 32.36%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
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Medina A. (G) 
Machado C. 
Ardaiz J. 
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