Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 19

Date: 8 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Juan Pasquale (Belgrano)

Referee: Amiconi B. (Arg)


	Defensores de Belgrano		Gimnasia y Tiro

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.8
	2.1	2.8	3.8
	2.1	2.95	3.75
	2.17	2.85	4.17
	2.17	2.84	4.16
	2.05	2.88	3.9
	2.08	2.92	3.91	Watch
	2.06	2.95	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.22)	2.9 ↑ (2.77)	3.92 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Belgrano
44.2%

Draw
32.1%

Gimnasia y Tiro
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

33.6%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

32.5%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	62.5%	0%

Defensores de Belgrano - Gimnasia y Tiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Defensores will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pietrobono I. (G) 4. Massaccesi A. 2. Laumann F. 6. De Tomasso J. 3. Barbero M. 8. Benitez A. 5. Gutierrez I. 11. Moyano P. 10. Salto C. 9. Sayago D. 7. Aguirre E. (C)	1. Abadia F. (G) 4. Chaves I. F. (C) 2. Neira E. 6. Tallura A. 3. Sanabria I. 8. Araujo A. 5. Birge R. 10. Busse W. 11. Villarreal R. 7. Rojas F. 9. Attis T.
Substitutes
20. Aquilino G. 15. Borsotti N. 18. Gomez B. 17. Hernandez A. 13. Martinez L. 12. Nocetti A. (G) 19. Pereyra F. 14. Perez S. 16. Rumbolo R.	18. Carrasco D. 12. Cosentino F. (G) 19. Duarte B. 17. Esparza M. 14. Galetto J. 16. Heredia F. 20. Lopez E. 13. Monti I. 15. Narese E.
Coaches
Mayor C.	Forestello R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Neira E. 🟨,
18', Barbero M. 🟨,
33', De Tomasso J. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Aguirre E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Benitez A. 🟨,
54', Villarreal R. ↓, Duarte B. ↑,
57', Birge R. 🟨,
70', Moyano P. ↓, Rumbolo R. ↑,
70', Sayago D. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
71', Benitez A. ↓, Aquilino G. ↑,
77', Birge R. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
80', Aguirre E. ↓, Pereyra F. ↑,
84', Salto C. ↓, Gomez B. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Defensores de Belgrano will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.06.24	Mitre - Defensores de Belgrano	2:0 ✺
27.05.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Aldosivi	0:2 ✺
19.05.24	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Defensores de Belgrano	1:1 ✺
13.05.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Colón	1:0 ✺
04.05.24	Almirante Brown - Defensores de Belgrano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLTWW
- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.06.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Club Almagro	1:1 ✺
26.05.24	Brown de Adrogué - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
17.05.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Temperley	0:2 ✺
11.05.24	Deportivo Morón - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
05.05.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Nueva Chicago	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTLTW

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