Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 9

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Juan Pasquale (Belgrano)


	Defensores de Belgrano		Ciudad de Bolívar

	1	X	2
	2.01	2.7	4.75	Watch
	2.02	2.68	4.55	Watch
	2.06	2.71	5.04
	2.04	2.71	4.86	Watch
	2.1	2.5	4.4
	1.97	2.61	4.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.04)	2.65 ↓ (2.81)	4.73 ↑ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Belgrano
45.5%

Draw
34.9%

Ciudad de Bolívar
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

33.3%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

31.7%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Ciudad de Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Bolívar than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	83.3%	0%

Defensores de Belgrano - Ciudad de Bolívar Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Defensores will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Medina A. (G) 4. Magallanes D. 2. Perez A. 6. Gamarra G. 3. Perez I. 7. Moyano P. 5. Gutierrez I. 10. Benitez A. 8. De Tomasso J. (C) 9. Gonzalez E. 11. Dellarossa J.	1. Rufinetti A. (G) 4. Paredes A. 2. Navarro E. 6. Martinez E. 3. Peralta F. 7. Duarte B. 5. Vega C. 8. Yeri N. 11. Diaz A. 10. Gonzalez A. 9. Maciel J.
Substitutes
20. Aquilino G. 17. Ciccolini L. 18. Garcia D. 16. Gomez B. 15. Jerez Silva L. 14. Monteagudo J. 12. Nocetti N. (G) 19. Tcherkaski F. 13. Vaquer N.	12. Alegre T. 14. Carrion A. 13. Chacon J. 19. Cuello E. 20. Fernandez T. 18. Gutierrez M. 17. Mucignat F. 15. Quintana B. 16. Sanchez G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Vega C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Navarro E. 🟨,
61', Dellarossa J. ↓, Tcherkaski F. ↑,
61', Benitez A. ↓, Ciccolini L. ↑,
69', Diaz A. 🟨,
73', Gutierrez I. ↓, Jerez Silva L. ↑,
75', Gonzalez A. ↓, Mucignat F. ↑,
75', Diaz A. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
80', Moyano P. ↓, Aquilino G. ↑,
83', Mucignat F. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Defensores is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ciudad de Bolívar has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Defensores may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Defensores is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.04.26	Almirante Brown - Defensores de Belgrano	0:2 ✺
30.03.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Mitre	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Defensores de Belgrano	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Los Andes - Defensores de Belgrano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WTTWW
- Club Ciudad de Bolívar
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.04.26	Racing de Córdoba - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Agropecuario Argentino	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Almirante Brown	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Mitre - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	All Boys - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WTTTT

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