The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensores de Belgrano 44.8%
Draw 32.9%
Nueva Chicago 22.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.1%
27.9%
18%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.9%
27.3%
18.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensores de Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensores de Belgrano's form might have worsened.
Nueva Chicago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensores de Belgrano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Defensores de Belgrano - Nueva Chicago Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Medina A. (G) 4. Mendoza G. 2. Massaccesi A. 6. Segovia J. 3. Correa L. 8. Gutierrez I. 5. Laba M. 10. Benitez A. 11. Moyano P. 7. Aguirre E. (C) 9. Pons F.
1. Ferrero F. (C) 4. Cortes F. 2. Rodriguez J. 6. Aguirre A. 3. Arroyo D. 8. Rodriguez T. 5. Mendez E. 7. Ortiz S. 11. Nouet F. 9. Maggi I. 10. Molinas I. A.
Substitutes
15. Borsotti N. 13. Gamarra G. 16. Gomez B. 20. Gonzalez E. 12. Peraggini L. (G) 18. Pugliese G. 14. Rodriguez F. 17. Sanchez C. 19. Villalba G.
14. Abello D. 19. Almaraz A. 12. Diaz L. (G) 17. Fernandez G. 15. Martinez A. 18. Mendoza J. 16. Montenegro M. 13. Motroni J. 20. Ortiz M.
Coaches
Mayor C.
Lotito G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Pons F. 🟨,
19', Mendez E. 🟨,
29', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
30', Correa L. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Maggi I. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Pons F. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Correa L. 🟨,
50', Moyano P. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑,
66', Ortiz S. 🟨,
75', Nouet F. ↓, Ortiz M. ↑,
75', Ortiz S. ↓, Mendoza J. ↑,
76', Aguirre E. ↓, Gonzalez E. ↑,
77', Pons F. ↓, Villalba G. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Mendez E. ⚽,
87', Laba M. ↓, Sanchez C. ↑,
87', Gutierrez I. ↓, Pugliese G. ↑,
89', Molinas I. A. ↓, Almaraz A. ↑,
89', Maggi I. ↓, Abello D. ↑,
90+5', Arroyo D. ↓, Motroni J. ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensores won 1.
Defensores is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Nueva Chicago has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Defensores may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Defensores is seen as the favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Defensores won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.4:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Defensores won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.5:0.3).
Watch
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