The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza 56.9%
Draw 27.4%
Defensores de Belgrano 15.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.1%
27.7%
14.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.4%
28.3%
13.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
0%
60%
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Defensores de Belgrano Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Defensores will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Defensores (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Defensores de Belgrano will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Defensores (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rigamonti C. (G) 4. Nadalin F. 2. Mondino D. 6. Gonzales 3. Saavedra F. 5. Antonio I. 10. Romano N. 7. Galeano M. 8. Barboza N. 11. Lencioni F. 9. Ferreyra B.
1. Medina A. (G) 4. Massaccesi A. 2. Gamarra G. 6. Segovia J. 3. Rodriguez F. 11. Benitez A. 5. Gutierrez I. 8. De Tomasso J. 10. Moyano P. 7. Aguirre E. (C) 9. Gonzalez E.
Substitutes
17. Andrada B. 16. Antonini F. 13. Carrera L. 18. Cingolani L. 15. Munoz M. 12. Petruchi L. (G) 19. Puch J. 14. Recalde M. 20. Servetto N.
13. Correa L. 14. Gomez B. 15. Laba M. 17. Lavergne I. 12. Peraggini L. (G) 18. Pugliese G. 16. Rumbolo R. 20. Tcherkaski F. 19. Villalba G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Aguirre E. 🟨,
19', Romano N. 🟨,
25', Medina A. 🟨,
32', 🟨,
32', Gutierrez I. 🟨,
36', Rodriguez F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Gutierrez I. ↓, Gomez B. ↑,
59', Moyano P. ↓, Laba M. ↑,
60', Galeano M. ↓, Cingolani L. ↑,
64', Romano N. ↓, Puch J. ↑,
64', Antonio I. ↓, Antonini F. ↑,
66', Gomez B. 🟨,
69', 🟨,
69', Aguirre E. 🟨,
71', Benitez A. ↓, Pugliese G. ↑,
75', 1 - 0, Antonini F. ⚽, Lencioni F. (A),
81', Lencioni F. ↓, Recalde M. ↑,
81', Saavedra F. ↓, Munoz M. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: ) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia Mendoza won 3.
Gimnasia Mendoza has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Defensores is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Defensores may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Gimnasia Mendoza is considered a favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia Mendoza won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.5:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia Mendoza won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.4:0.4).