The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensores de Belgrano 33.5%
Draw 35%
Deportivo Morón 31.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.7%
34.3%
32%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.1%
34.7%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensores de Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Deportivo Morón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
33.3%
66.7%
Defensores de Belgrano - Deportivo Morón Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Deportivo Morón will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Medina A. (G) 2. De Tomasso J. 5. Jerez Silva L. 6. Morro N. 3. Perez I. 7. Aguirre E. (C) 4. Gomez B. 8. Gutierrez I. 11. Gonzalez E. 10. Landriel L. 9. Ardaiz J.
1. Diaz F. (G) 2. Salvareschi B. 5. Gonzalez M. 6. Vazquez F. 3. Livera J. 7. Berterame G. 4. Contreras E. 8. Kubiszyn S. 11. Bittolo M. (C) 10. Olivares J. 9. Fagundez F.
Substitutes
16. Acosta D. A. I. 19. Ciccolini L. 14. Gamarra G. 18. Garcia D. 17. Moyano P. 12. Nocetti N. (G) 15. Rodriguez L. 20. Tcherkaski F. 13. Vaquer N.
19. Benitez M. 13. Cardozo L. 12. Casalnuovo M. (G) 18. Esquivel J. 14. Flores F. 15. Iniguez E. 17. Lauro T. 16. Ramirez L. 20. Zappacosta J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Vazquez F. ⚽, Bittolo M. (A),
38', Olivares J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Bittolo M. ↓, Cardozo L. ↑,
56', Borsotti N. ↓, Moyano P. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Aguirre E. ⚽,
64', Livera J. 🟨,
68', 2 - 1, Moyano P. ⚽, Gomez B. (A),
69', Moyano P. 🟨,
70', Kubiszyn S. ↓, Benitez M. ↑,
70', Berterame G. ↓, Esquivel J. ↑,
75', Livera J. ↓, Zappacosta J. ↑,
80', Aguirre E. ↓, Gamarra G. ↑,
85', Ardaiz J. ↓, Acosta D. A. I. ↑,
88', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensores won 1.
Defensores is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Deportivo Morón is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Defensores won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 0.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Defensores won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.6:0.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Morón - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 32.04%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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Medina A. (G) 
Ardaiz J. 
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