Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 15

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: La Quema Stadium (Boulogne Sur Mer)


	Acassuso		Defensores de Belgrano

	1	X	2
	2.75	3	2.57	Watch
	2.78	2.92	2.58
	2.94	3.13	2.66
	2.9	3	2.59	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.5
	2.76	2.9	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (2.86)	2.98 ↑ (2.7)	2.56 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Acassuso
32.8%

Draw
31.1%

Defensores de Belgrano
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

34.6%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

33.6%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Acassuso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acassuso than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

Acassuso - Defensores de Belgrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Defensores will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Monllor M. (G) 4. Etcheverri R. 2. Bellatti S. D. N. 6. Dordoni B. 3. Ruiz A. 5. Roberts D. 8. Dubini K. (C) 9. Hermoso A. 7. Reynoso R. 10. De Stefano D. 11. Ponce J.	1. Medina A. (G) 4. Magallanes D. 2. De Tomasso J. 6. Vaquer N. 3. Perez I. 5. Gutierrez I. 8. Benitez A. 7. Aguirre E. (C) 10. Ciccolini L. 11. Moyano P. 9. Dellarossa J.
Substitutes
12. Atamanuk C. (G) 14. Borges S. 19. Gonzalez 17. Perez P. 15. Petillo N. 13. Pioli L. 16. Raccio J. 18. Rey L. 20. Rodriguez T.	20. Aquilino G. 18. Garcia D. 17. Gomez B. 16. Jerez Silva L. 13. Monteagudo J. 12. Nocetti N. (G) 14. Perez A. 15. Sanchez F. 19. Tcherkaski F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Roberts D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Vaquer N. 🟨,
61', Dubini K. 🟨,
63', Roberts D. 🟨,
65', Dubini K. ↓, Borges S. ↑,
65', Roberts D. ↓, Petillo N. ↑,
66', Gutierrez I. 🟨,
70', Hermoso A. ↓, Gonzalez ↑,
73', Moyano P. ↓, Tcherkaski F. ↑,
73', Perez I. ↓, Sanchez F. ↑,
77', Etcheverri R. 🟨,
80', Ciccolini L. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
80', Magallanes D. ↓, Gomez B. ↑,
80', Reynoso R. ↓, Rey L. ↑,
80', Dordoni B. ↓, Pioli L. ↑,
89', Pioli L. 🟨,
90+12', Kohan T. 🟥,
90+13', Aguirre E. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Acassuso won 0.

Acassuso has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Defensores is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Acassuso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Acassuso won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Acassuso won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlético Acassuso
Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.05.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Acassuso	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Acassuso - Almirante Brown	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Mitre - Acassuso	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Acassuso - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
22.04.26	Acassuso - Gimnasia La Plata	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL
- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.05.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Chaco For Ever	0:0 ✺
11.05.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Defensores de Belgrano	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Central Norte	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Deportivo Madryn - Defensores de Belgrano	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Racing de Córdoba - Defensores de Belgrano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
07.02.18	Acassuso - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0
13.09.17	Defensores de Belgrano - Acassuso	2:1
04.06.17	Acassuso - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0
19.11.16	Defensores de Belgrano - Acassuso	1:0
04.06.16	Defensores de Belgrano - Acassuso	0:0
08.07.15	Defensores de Belgrano - Acassuso	0:0
23.02.15	Acassuso - Defensores de Belgrano	1:3

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