Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 7

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: El Coloso (Rafaela)


	9 de Julio		Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay

	1	X	2
	1.25	4.8	10.5
	1.17	5.7	12	Watch
	1.25	5.47	6.88
	1.19	6.23	14.79	Watch
	1.2	5	15
	1.18	5.5	14
	1.44	3.85	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.44)	5.22 ↑ (3.85)	11.37 ↑ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

9 de Julio
74.3%

Draw
17.6%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay
8.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

23.4%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

22.2%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

9 de Julio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in 9 de Julio's performance.

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 9 de Julio than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with 9 de Julio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

9 de Julio - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gomez J. (G) 3. Acuna S. 2. Androetto T. 4. Bravo N. 8. Del Sole N. 11. Larrea L. 5. Ramirez P. 10. Solari M. 9. Troncoso L. 6. Uriona M. 7. Varela S.	1. Rebora E. (C) 8. Altamirano L. 2. Benitez J. 10. Favre A. 11. Garcia A. 7. Germanier N. 3. Gomez N. 6. Laumann F. 5. Lebus N. 9. Sonzogni A. 4. Suarez N.
Substitutes
20. Bonilla T. 16. Ensabella G. 18. Garcia F. 17. Luduena C. 13. Motta G. 15. Nazzi J. 19. Sordi R. 14. Vanega A. 12. Zanoni M. (G)	15. Arraigada A. 19. Baltore D. 12. Baro R. 20. Bogado M. 14. Casares J. 16. Marquez E. 13. Palladino T. 18. Rodriguez J. 17. Valle T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Del Sole N. ⚽,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', 2 - 0, ⚽,
60', 🟨,
71', 3 - 0, ⚽,
84', 🟨,
87', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

9 de Julio is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gimnasia y Esgrima has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, 9 de Julio is the obvious favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, 9 de Julio won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, 9 de Julio won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - 9 de Julio	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	El Linqueño - 9 de Julio	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	9 de Julio - Atlético Escobar	4:1 ✺
05.04.26	Sportivo Las Parejas - 9 de Julio	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	9 de Julio - Independiente Chivilcoy	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWWTW
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Atlético Escobar	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Sportivo Las Parejas - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Douglas Haig	1:3 ✺
22.03.26	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
01.06.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - 9 de Julio	1:0
30.03.25	9 de Julio - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	2:0
07.07.24	9 de Julio - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	3:1
11.05.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - 9 de Julio	1:2

Upcoming Matches