Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 6

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Jose Maria Paz (Chivilcoy)


	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy		9 de Julio

	1	X	2
	1.88	2.98	4.15
	1.85	2.95	4.31
	1.9	3.13	4.47	Watch
	1.91	2.8	4.2
	1.85	3	4.4
	1.55	3.5	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.55)	3.06 ↓ (3.5)	4.52 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
50%

Draw
29.8%

9 de Julio
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

25.8%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

26.6%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy's form might have worsened.

9 de Julio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 9 de Julio than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - 9 de Julio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dormisch N. (G) 5. Bassi E. 10. Caseres F. 2. Flores F. 3. Gallo M. 8. Martinez G. 7. Medina R. 6. Robatto V. 11. Salvaggio M. 9. Visser B. 4. Zarate A.	1. Gomez J. (G) 3. Acuna S. 2. Androetto T. 4. Bravo N. 8. Del Sole N. 11. Larrea L. 5. Ramirez P. 10. Solari M. 9. Troncoso L. 6. Uriona M. 7. Varela S.
Substitutes
17. Avalos N. 14. Dauria M. 19. Ferreira P. 13. Fiol F. 12. Ilchischen N. (G) 15. Iturrieta J. 20. Marfort S. 16. Piersigilli S. 18. Rosales C.	20. Bonilla T. 16. Ensabella G. 18. Garcia F. 17. Luduena C. 13. Motta G. 15. Nazzi J. 19. Salvucci J. 14. Vanega A. 12. Zanoni M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 🟨,
70', 🟨,
76', 1 - 0, Marfort S. (Penalty Awarded),
87', 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

In recent matches, Gimnasia Chivilcoy has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

9 de Julio is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gimnasia Chivilcoy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gimnasia Chivilcoy is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia Chivilcoy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia Chivilcoy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
16.04.26	Atlético Escobar - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	3:0 ✺
29.03.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Douglas Haig - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLTL
- CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Argentinian Torneo Federal
19.04.26	El Linqueño - 9 de Julio	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	9 de Julio - Atlético Escobar	4:1 ✺
05.04.26	Sportivo Las Parejas - 9 de Julio	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	9 de Julio - Independiente Chivilcoy	3:2 ✺
20.03.26	Sportivo Belgrano - 9 de Julio	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
16.11.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - 9 de Julio	1:2
09.11.25	9 de Julio - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	1:0
17.08.25	9 de Julio - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	1:1
22.06.25	9 de Julio - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	2:0
20.04.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - 9 de Julio	2:1

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