Match Info

Primera C - Round 10

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Mercedes		Juventud Unida de San Miguel

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.75	3.4
	2.2	2.72	3.45
	2.24	2.6	3.42
	2.36	2.56	3.59	Watch
	2.25	2.6	3.5
	2.26	2.66	3.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.28)	2.65 ↓ (2.87)	3.48 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mercedes
40.1%

Draw
34%

Juventud Unida de San Miguel
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

31.5%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

30.3%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mercedes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Juventud Unida de San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud Unida de San Miguel than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Mercedes - Juventud Unida de San Miguel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Cardozo F. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Ruiz F. C. ⚽,
36', Zuccaro M. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 0.

In recent matches, Mercedes has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Juventud Unida is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Juventud Unida may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mercedes will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 2:13. (average 0.3:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Mercedes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Mercedes - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.71%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Mercedes
Argentinian Primera C
26.04.26	Sacachispas - Mercedes	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Mercedes - Atlético Claypole	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Mercedes - Argentino de Rosario	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Estrella del Sur - Mercedes	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Mercedes - Berazategui	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TTWTL
- Juventud Unida de San Miguel
Argentinian Primera C
25.04.26	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Deportivo Paraguayo	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Deportivo Muñiz	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Puerto Nuevo - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	2:2 ✺
05.04.26	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Leandro N. Alem	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Defensores de Cambaceres - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
03.11.24	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Mercedes	2:0
01.06.24	Mercedes - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	0:0
Argentinian Primera D
28.11.23	Mercedes - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	0:4
21.08.23	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Mercedes	3:1
15.04.23	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Mercedes	2:1
01.10.22	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Mercedes	1:0
16.07.22	Mercedes - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	0:1

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