Match Info

Date: 11 January 2021, Monday


	Defensores de Pronunciamiento		Güemes

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.9	2.2
	3.2	2.9	2.25
	3.15	2.8	2.19
	3.35	3.11	2.3
	3.2	2.8	2.25
	2.92	2.93	2.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.45)	2.91 ↑ (2.88)	2.28 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Pronunciamiento
28.7%

Draw
31.3%

Güemes
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

31%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

22.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Pronunciamiento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensores de Pronunciamiento's form might have worsened.

Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Güemes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Pronunciamiento than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Güemes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Defensores de Pronunciamiento is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Güemes is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Defensores de Pronunciamiento won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Defensores de Pronunciamiento won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Pronunciamiento
Argentinian Torneo Federal
03.01.21	Douglas Haig - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	0:0 ✺
20.12.20	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Central Norte	1:2 ✺
13.12.20	Chaco For Ever - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	3:1 ✺
09.12.20	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:0 ✺
04.12.20	Sportivo Las Parejas - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLLWT
- CA Güemes
Argentinian Torneo Federal
03.01.21	Güemes - Central Norte	2:1 ✺
27.12.20	Chaco For Ever - Güemes	2:0 ✺
20.12.20	Güemes - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:0 ✺
13.12.20	Sportivo Las Parejas - Güemes	2:4 ✺
05.12.20	Güemes - Douglas Haig	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
10.11.19	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Güemes	1:1

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