The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensores de Pronunciamiento 24.2%
Draw 30.4%
Central Norte 45.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.6%
31.3%
45.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.4%
29.7%
47.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensores de Pronunciamiento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Central Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Pronunciamiento than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
27.8%
50%
Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Central Norte Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Def Pronunciamiento will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Central Norte will win (votes: 9 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Central Norte: 26.9% โ 73.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensores de Pronunciamiento won 0.
Defensores de Pronunciamiento is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Central Norte is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Defensores de Pronunciamiento could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Central Norte will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Defensores de Pronunciamiento won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Defensores de Pronunciamiento won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.