Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Round 7

Date: 14 May 2024, Tuesday

Location: Behrn Arena (Örebro)

Referee: Oppong F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	Örebro		Degerfors

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.3
	2.75	3.2	2.35
	2.9	3.4	2.4
	2.94	3.39	2.48
	2.94	3.39	2.41
	2.7	3.25	2.3
	2.86	3.4	2.38	Watch
	2.75	3.35	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (2.86)	3.32 ↓ (3.55)	2.37 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Örebro
32.9%

Draw
27.9%

Degerfors
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

26.3%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

25.9%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Örebro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Degerfors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Örebro than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	36.4%	27.3%

Örebro - Degerfors Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Örebro will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Degerfors will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Örebro: 8% – 64.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pahlsson M. (G) 27. Valgeirsson V. 4. McCue E. 5. Modig J. 2. Bjornstad T. 7. Barsoum E. 6. Crona S. 22. Shlimon L. 9. Gwargis P. 8. Saeid M. 17. Holmberg K. (C)	1. Jakobsson W. (G) 6. Wallin O. 15. Moro N. 2. Diaby M. 20. Bouzaiene E. (C) 7. Ohlsson S. 8. Holmen K. 16. Demirol A. 3. Mammar Chaouche A. 13. Abdulla P. 9. Lindgren G.
Substitutes
10. Backman V. 28. Bark A. 15. Bergmark N. 12. Hansemon T. 3. Kack O. 14. Shagaxle H. 13. Strindholm D. (G)	11. Fisic A. 25. Forsell R. (G) 17. Kassi L. 4. Martensson J. 30. Morgado B. 21. Pihlstrom E. 10. Vukojevic D.
Coaches
Jardler C.	Lundin W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Diaby M. 🟨,
45', Crona S. ↓, Bergmark N. ↑,
45+2', Valgeirsson V. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', Ohlsson S. 🟨,
52', 1 - 0, Bjornstad T. ⚽, Gwargis P. (A),
55', Diaby M. 🟨,
56', 2 - 0, Holmberg K. (Pen),
59', Abdulla P. ↓, Fisic A. ↑,
59', Demirol A. ↓, Martensson J. ↑,
65', Fisic A. 🟨,
67', Holmberg K. 🟨,
70', Saeid M. ↓, Backman V. ↑,
70', Gwargis P. ↓, Bark A. ↑,
72', Ohlsson S. ↓, Pihlstrom E. ↑,
78', Backman V. ↓, Shagaxle H. ↑,
78', McCue E. 🟨,
82', Mammar Chaouche A. 🟨,
84', Bouzaiene E. ↓, Vukojevic D. ↑,
89', Modig J. 🟨,
90', 2 - 1, Lindgren G. (Pen),

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Örebro won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Örebro won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Örebro won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Örebro SK
Swedish Superettan
05.05.24	Östersund - Örebro	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Örebro - Brage	2:1 ✺
22.04.24	Örebro - Varbergs BoIS	3:1 ✺
16.04.24	Öster - Örebro	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Sandviken - Örebro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWWLL
- Degerfors IF
Swedish Superettan
04.05.24	Degerfors - Landskrona	1:3 ✺
29.04.24	Trelleborg - Degerfors	1:1 ✺
23.04.24	Degerfors - Helsingborg	2:1 ✺
15.04.24	Gefle - Degerfors	2:2 ✺
06.04.24	Degerfors - Sundsvall	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
26.03.22	Örebro - Degerfors	0:5
Swedish Allsvenskan
25.10.21	Örebro - Degerfors	1:2
18.05.21	Degerfors - Örebro	3:0
Club Friendly
15.02.20	Örebro - Degerfors	1:1
09.02.19	Örebro - Degerfors	1:0
11.02.18	Örebro - Degerfors	1:0
Swedish Superettan
01.09.13	Degerfors - Örebro	1:1

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