Match Info
BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 11Date: 1 July 2024, Monday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Democrata SL |
|
Serra |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.82 |
2.95 |
4.2 |
|
 |
1.87 |
3 |
4.33 |
|
 |
1.91 |
3.05 |
4.5 |
|
 |
2.05 |
2.81 |
4.07 |
|
 |
2.38 |
2.8 |
3 |
|
 |
1.69 |
3.27 |
5.08 |
|
 |
1.87 |
3 |
4.33 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(2.4) |
2.98 ↑
(2.8) |
4.22 ↑
(3.07) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Democrata SL
47.4% | Draw
30.8% | Serra
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Democrata SL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Democrata SL's performance.Serra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Serra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Democrata SL than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Democrata SL that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serra than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Serra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Democrata SL - Serra Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Democrata SL will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Democrata SL: 45% – 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 41', 0 - 1, Ze Gatinha ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 90+1', 0 - 2, Capixaba L. ⚽,
- 90+3', 1 - 2, Serginho ⚽,
Preview
Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 5). The competitors look crappy now. Serra could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Democrata SL won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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