Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 24

Date: 31 January 2025, Friday

Location: De Vliert ('s-Hertogenbosch)

Referee: van de Graaf E. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN Extra, Star Channel


	Den Bosch		Volendam

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	2.25	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.15
	3	3.5	2.25	Watch
	3.19	3.7	2.25
	3.11	3.52	2.17	Watch
	3	3.6	2.1
	3.06	3.55	2.17	Watch
	3	3.5	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.46)	3.55 ↓ (4.01)	2.2 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Den Bosch
30.9%

Draw
26.4%

Volendam
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

23.4%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

22.4%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Den Bosch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Volendam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Volendam might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Volendam could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	20%	53.3%

Den Bosch - Volendam Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Den Bosch will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Volendam will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Volendam: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. van de Merbel P. (G) 47. Barglan S. 15. van Grunsven T. 5. Henderikx S. 14. de Groot N. 33. Laros M. 11. Verbeek D. 23. Bakala M. 17. Burgering B. 9. Karlsson Grach S. 16. Monzialo K.	20. van Oevelen K. (G) 12. Payne D. 4. Mbuyamba X. 3. Amevor M. 32. Leliendal Y. 6. Plat A. 18. Bukala N. 10. Kuwas B. 21. Muhren R. 8. Jacobs Ja. 9. Veerman H. (C)
Substitutes
20. Acheffay H. 31. Bijlsma T. (G) 40. Boumassaoudi I. 48. Elum S. (G) 22. Gravenberch D. 34. Keijser Y. 21. Kuijpers D. 24. Maas S. 6. Soomets M. 3. van den Bogert V.	5. Anita V. 25. Blondeau L. 15. Bouziane A. 26. Cabral J. 23. Curiel G. 36. de Haan M. 28. Esajas S. 22. Lauwers B. (G) 16. Ngom K. (G) 11. Oehlers A. 7. Ould-Chikh B. 14. Steur D.
Coaches
Landvreugd U.	Kruys R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Barglan S. ↓, Maas S. ↑,
43', 1 - 0, Burgering B. ⚽, Laros M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Bukala N. ↓, Ould-Chikh B. ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Burgering B. ⚽, Bakala M. (A),
50', Laros M. 🟨,
54', Karlsson Grach S. ↓, Gravenberch D. ↑,
63', Jacobs Ja. ↓, Oehlers A. ↑,
71', Leliendal Y. ↓, Anita V. ↑,
72', Amevor M. 🟨,
72', 3 - 0, Laros M. ⚽, Verbeek D. (A),
76', Ould-Chikh B. ↓, Cabral J. ↑,
80', Monzialo K. ↓, Acheffay H. ↑,
80', Verbeek D. ↓, Soomets M. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Den Bosch won 0.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Den Bosch could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Volendam is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Den Bosch won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 23:46 (average 1.2:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Den Bosch won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:24 (average 1.2:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Den Bosch
Dutch Eerste Divisie
27.01.25	Den Bosch - Jong Utrecht	2:0 ✺
24.01.25	Den Bosch - FC Oss	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	MVV Maastricht - Den Bosch	5:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.25	Den Bosch - De Treffers	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
20.12.24	Emmen - Den Bosch	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLWW
- FC Volendam
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.01.25	Volendam - MVV Maastricht	3:1 ✺
17.01.25	Volendam - Vitesse	4:0 ✺
10.01.25	FC Eindhoven - Volendam	1:3 ✺
22.12.24	Volendam - De Graafschap	2:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
19.12.24	Rijnsburgse Boys - Volendam	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
22.10.24	Volendam - Den Bosch	3:2
22.04.22	Den Bosch - Volendam	1:2
26.11.21	Volendam - Den Bosch	3:0
12.03.21	Den Bosch - Volendam	1:5
11.12.20	Volendam - Den Bosch	6:0
13.10.19	Volendam - Den Bosch	1:1
08.02.19	Den Bosch - Volendam	1:1

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