The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Emmen 40.9%
Draw 26.9%
Den Bosch 32.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.7%
28.2%
26.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.5%
29.3%
25.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Den Bosch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Den Bosch's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Emmen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Den Bosch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
22.2%
66.7%
Emmen - Den Bosch Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Emmen will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Den Bosch will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Den Bosch: 35.9% โ 97.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Den Bosch (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
38. Unbehaun L. (G) 24. Mesbahi J. 4. Ostergaard C. 6. Mulder P. 17. Larsen L. 25. Kongolo R. 8. Bakir A. 19. Claridge A. 11. Amadin N. 9. Postema R. 5. Geypens T.
36. van de Merbel P. (G) 22. Fortes J. 42. Van Koeverden L. 27. Akmum R. 33. Laros M. 6. Felida K. 10. van Leeuwen T. 26. el Bakkali Z. 11. Verbeek D. 8. Monzialo K. 40. Boumassaoudi I.
Substitutes
22. Beukers D. 1. Bucker K. (G) 18. Evina F. 16. Norder K. (G) 21. Nunumete D. 23. Oostra T. 26. Otten D. 12. Quispel F. . Sunder C. 14. van Manen S.
1. Bakker M. (G) 31. Bijlsma T. (G) 46. Boushaba A. 51. El Allachi C. 19. Kuijpers D. 3. Maas S. 4. Oerlemans S. 17. Semedo E. 39. van Dijk D. 16. Wang B.
Coaches
van Dam M.
Landvreugd U.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Larsen L. 🟨,
22', Fortes J. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Monzialo K. ⚽, Laros M. (A),
30', Mulder P. 🟨,
36', Verbeek D. 🟨,
40', Fortes J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Verbeek D. ↓, Maas S. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Postema R. ⚽, Mesbahi J. (A),
48', Larsen L. ↓, Evina F. ↑,
60', 2 - 1, Geypens T. ⚽,
68', Bakir A. ↓, Nunumete D. ↑,
75', Kongolo R. ↓, Quispel F. ↑,
76', el Bakkali Z. ↓, Wang B. ↑,
76', Boumassaoudi I. ↓, Semedo E. ↑,
76', Monzialo K. ↓, Kuijpers D. ↑,
76', Geypens T. ↓, Bolk G. ↑,
80', Felida K. 🟨,
82', Van Koeverden L. ↓, El Allachi C. ↑,
89', Amadin N. ↓, Sunder C. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 1, Laros M. (Own goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emmen won 3.
Emmen is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Den Bosch is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Recently, Emmen has had a series of away games.
Recently, Den Bosch has had a series of home games.
Emmen will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Emmen: Denk L.
(Knee Injury)
Kade J.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Den Bosch: Karlsson Grach S.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Den Bosch: de Groot N.
(Injury)
van Grunsven T.
(Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Emmen won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Emmen won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.3:0.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Emmen - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 45.67%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.