Match Info

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Volendam		Vitesse

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.75	2.57	Watch
	2.30	3.70	2.60
	2.28	3.65	2.55
	2.39	3.92	2.61
	2.34	3.91	2.58	Watch
	2.30	3.80	2.50
	2.28	3.70	2.65	Watch
	2.29	3.65	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.21)	3.76 (3.76)	2.58 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volendam
40%

Draw
24.4%

Vitesse
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

24.8%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

24.1%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volendam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Volendam - Vitesse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 11th and 8th in the Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Volendam won 3.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Volendam has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:9 (averaging 1.7:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Volendam against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:2 goals (averaging 2.3:0.7 per game).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

FC Volendam: 3.94% Vitesse: 3.18%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Vitesse	9	4	2	3	15:13	2	14
11	FC Volendam	9	4	0	5	20:17	3	12

Last Results with these Odds

Vitesse - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.89%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volendam
Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.10.26	Almere City - Volendam	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Volendam - VVV-Venlo	3:2 ✺
18.09.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Volendam	4:1 ✺
13.09.26	Volendam - Den Bosch	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	Emmen - Volendam	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLWL
- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.10.26	Vitesse - NAC Breda	2:2 ✺
26.09.26	Heracles Almelo - Vitesse	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Vitesse - Jong PSV	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Roda - Vitesse	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Vitesse - FC Oss	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.01.25	Volendam - Vitesse	4:0
04.10.24	Vitesse - Volendam	1:2
Dutch Eredivisie
18.02.24	Vitesse - Volendam	1:1
11.08.23	Volendam - Vitesse	1:2
18.02.23	Volendam - Vitesse	2:0
17.09.22	Vitesse - Volendam	1:1
Club Friendly
06.09.12	Vitesse - Volendam	4:1

Volendam - Vitesse: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide