Match Info

WALES: Cymru North - Round 30

Date: 19 April 2024, Friday


	Porthmadog		Holywell Town

	1	X	2
	11	7.5	1.14
	10.6	5.91	1.21
	22	7.6	1.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	14.53 ↑ (5.53)	7 ↑ (5.35)	1.14 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porthmadog
6.3%

Draw
13.1%

Holywell Town
80.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.7%

17.3%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

16.7%

68.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porthmadog has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Porthmadog's form might have worsened.

Holywell Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Holywell Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porthmadog than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Porthmadog, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holywell Town than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Holywell Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Porthmadog - Holywell Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Porthmadog will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Holywell Town will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Andrews D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
69', 0 - 2, Breese J. (Pen),
90+1', 0 - 3, ap Gareth I. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 2).

Porthmadog has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Holywell Town in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Porthmadog could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Holywell Town is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Porthmadog won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Porthmadog FC
Welsh Cymru North
01.04.24	Chirk AAA - Porthmadog	1:1 ✺
29.03.24	Porthmadog - Airbus UK Broughton	0:3 ✺
16.03.24	Guilsfield - Porthmadog	4:0 ✺
09.03.24	Porthmadog - Buckley Town	1:3 ✺
02.03.24	Porthmadog - Gresford Athletic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 TLLLL
- Holywell Town
Welsh Cymru North
13.04.24	Guilsfield - Holywell Town	0:2 ✺
06.04.24	Ruthin Town - Holywell Town	1:1 ✺
29.03.24	Llandudno - Holywell Town	0:4 ✺
19.03.24	Holywell Town - Prestatyn Town	4:0 ✺
16.03.24	Holywell Town - Denbigh Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
29.07.23	Holywell Town - Porthmadog	1:0
02.01.23	Holywell Town - Porthmadog	4:0

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