Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 4

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Dender Football Complex (Denderleeuw)

Referee: Visser L. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Dender EH		Anderlecht

	1	X	2
	4	3.75	1.9	Watch
	3.7	3.6	1.95
	3.9	3.65	1.88	Watch
	4.02	3.81	1.91
	3.80	3.42	1.97	Watch
	3.6	3.4	1.95
	3.85	3.67	1.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (3.82)	3.61 ↓ (3.83)	1.93 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dender EH
24.7%

Draw
26.2%

Anderlecht
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

24.8%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

24.1%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dender EH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Anderlecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	22.2%	66.7%

Dender EH - Anderlecht Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Dender EH will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Anderlecht will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Anderlecht: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Dender EH (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Anderlecht will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Dender EH (votes: 1 - 25%). Anderlecht (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Verrips M. (G) 5. Marijnissen L. 44. De Fougerolles L. 3. Pupe J. 22. Fredrick B. 24. Viltard M. 17. Mbamba N. 88. Ferraro F. 16. Kvet R. 18. Rodes N. 11. Scheidler A.	26. Coosemans C. (G) 79. Maamar A. 3. Hey L. 55. Kana M. 6. Augustinsson L. 74. De Cat N. 24. Llansana E. 10. Verschaeren Y. 11. Hazard T. 19. Angulo N. 91. Bertaccini A.
Substitutes
21. Cools K. 30. Dietsch G. (G) 10. Dion M. S. 7. Goncalves B. 20. Hrncar D. 15. Koton K. 67. Moutha-Sebtaoui N. 77. Nsimba B. 26. Oratmangoen R.	83. Degreef T. 12. Dolberg K. 21. Huerta Valera C. S. 16. Kikkenborg M. (G) 5. N'Diaye M. 58. Ozcan Y. 13. Saliba N. 29. Stroeykens M. 20. Vazquez L.
Coaches
Euvrard V.	Hasi B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Llansana E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', Pupe J. ↓, Goncalves B. ↑,
61', Verschaeren Y. ↓, Huerta Valera C. S. ↑,
61', Bertaccini A. ↓, Dolberg K. ↑,
66', Goncalves B. 🟨,
71', 0 - 1, Huerta Valera C. S. ⚽, Angulo N. (A),
75', Mbamba N. ↓, Nsimba B. ↑,
75', Viltard M. ↓, Oratmangoen R. ↑,
81', De Cat N. ↓, Saliba N. ↑,
82', De Fougerolles L. ↓, Hrncar D. ↑,
82', Fredrick B. ↓, Dion M. S. ↑,
84', 0 - 2, Hazard T. ⚽, Angulo N. (A),
88', Angulo N. ↓, Degreef T. ↑,
88', Hazard T. ↓, Stroeykens M. ↑,

Preview

Dender EH has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Anderlecht has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Dender EH may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Dender EH has had a series of away games.

Anderlecht is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Dender EH: Berte M. (Muscle Injury) De Fougerolles L. (Red Card) Oratmangoen R. (Illness)

There will not play in Anderlecht: Camara I. (Inactive) Sardella K. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dender EH won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.4:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Dender EH won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCV Dender EH
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.08.25	Sint-Truidense - Dender EH	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Standard Liège - Dender EH	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Dender EH - Cercle Brugge	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Zwolle - Dender EH	Canceled ✺
12.07.25	Heracles Almelo - Dender EH	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTT?L
- Anderlecht
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.25	Sheriff Tiraspol - Anderlecht	1:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
10.08.25	Anderlecht - Zulte Waregem	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Anderlecht - Sheriff Tiraspol	3:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
03.08.25	Cercle Brugge - Anderlecht	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
31.07.25	Häcken - Anderlecht	3:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.12.24	Anderlecht - Dender EH	2:3
28.09.24	Dender EH - Anderlecht	1:1
Club Friendly
29.06.24	Anderlecht - Dender EH	2:1
19.07.17	Dender EH - Anderlecht	1:3
22.07.15	Dender EH - Anderlecht	1:3

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