Match Info

UEFA Nations League - League A - Round 3

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Parken Stadium (Copenhagen)

Referee: Balakin M. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Meraj Sport, Meraj TV, Solh Sports 1
Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 5
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belarus	Sport TV
Bolivia	ESPN
Brazil	Disney+, Globoplay, SporTV
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 4
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Denmark	TV2, TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	UEFA TV
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	L'Equipe Live Foot
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Hungary	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI, RCTI+
Ireland	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	20 Mediaset, Infinity+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	RTP 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	A2 TV
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Denmark		Portugal

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.7	2
	3.50	3.50	2.00
	3.45	3.6	2.02
	3.57	3.77	2.06
	3.6	3.78	2.05	Watch
	3.45	3.65	2.01
	3.6	3.8	2.04	Watch
	3.3	3.6	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↓ (3.55)	3.68 ↑ (3.55)	2.03 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denmark
27.2%

Draw
25.9%

Portugal
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denmark has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Portugal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Denmark - Portugal Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Denmark will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%). Portugal will win (votes: 16 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portugal: 38.8% – 75.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Denmark (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Denmark (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Denmark (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Hermansen M. (G) West Ham 13. Kristensen R. Midtjylland 2. Andersen J. Fulham 3. Provstgaard O. Lazio 5. Maehle J. Wolfsburg 21. Hjulmand M. Atl. Madrid 23. Hojbjerg P. (C) Marseille 17. Daghim A. Hoffenheim 14. Damsgaard M. Brentford 20. Daramy M. Reims 9. Hojlund R. Napoli	1. Costa D. (G) FC Porto 20. Cancelo J. Barcelona 3. Dias R. Manchester City 13. Veiga R. Villarreal 19. Mendes N. PSG 21. Neves R. Al Hilal 23. Vitinha PSG 18. Neto P. Chelsea 8. Fernandes B. (C) Manchester United 7. Leao R. Galatasaray 9. Ramos G. AC Milan
Substitutes
12. Bidstrup M. Lyon 7. Froholdt V. FC Porto 18. Gaaei A. Ajax 19. Hogh K. Celtic 4. Hogsberg L. Strasbourg 8. Isaksen G. Lazio 22. Jorgensen F. (G) Strasbourg 10. Jorgensen T. Toulouse 1. Jungdal A. (G) Westerlo 15. Nartey N. VfB Stuttgart 6. Nelsson V. Nordsjaelland 11. Skov Olsen A. Basaksehir	4. Araujo T. Benfica 2. Dalot D. Manchester United 14. Inacio G. Sporting CP 11. Joao Felix Al Nassr 15. Neves J. PSG 6. Palhinha J. Benfica 10. Silva B. Real Madrid 17. Silva F. Dortmund 12. Silva R. (G) Sporting CP 22. Soares S. (G) Benfica 5. Tavares N. Lazio 16. Trincao Al Ahli SC
Coaches
Riemer B.	Jesus J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Cancelo J. ⚽, Ramos G. (A),
23', 1 - 1, Damsgaard M. ⚽, Maehle J. (A),
25', 1 - 2, Ramos G. ⚽, Fernandes B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Daghim A. ↓, Isaksen G. ↑,
53', 2 - 2, Hojlund R. ⚽, Damsgaard M. (A),
63', Cancelo J. ↓, Dalot D. ↑,
63', Leao R. ↓, Trincao ↑,
67', 2 - 3, Vitinha ⚽, Fernandes B. (A),
69', Jesus J. 🟨,
75', Hjulmand M. ↓, Froholdt V. ↑,
80', Daramy M. 🟨,
81', Maehle J. ↓, Nartey N. ↑,
82', Neto P. ↓, Joao Felix ↑,
82', Ramos G. ↓, Neves J. ↑,
82', Neves R. 🟨,
85', Damsgaard M. ↓, Hogh K. ↑,
87', 2 - 4, Joao Felix ⚽, Dalot D. (A),
90+2', Fernandes B. ↓, Araujo T. ↑,

Preview

Denmark is ranked FIFA: 21., and Portugal is ranked FIFA: 7..

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Denmark won 2.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Portugal holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Denmark: Dorgu P. (Hamstring Injury) Eriksen C. (Heart Problems) Gronbaek A. (Thigh Injury) Jensen M. (Muscle Injury) Norgaard C. (Injury) Osula W. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Portugal: Conceicao F. (Injury) Ronaldo C. (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for Portugal: Fernandes B. (Injury).

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Denmark has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:7 (averaging 0.5:1.2 goals per game).

Outrights of UEFA Nations League for now

Portugal: 12.82% Denmark: 1.54%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denmark
UEFA Nations League
27.09.26	Denmark - Wales	2:0 ✺
24.09.26	Norway - Denmark	3:2 ✺
Friendly
07.06.26	Denmark - Ukraine	2:1 ✺
03.06.26	D.R. Congo - Denmark	0:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
31.03.26	Czech Republic - Denmark	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWTL
- Portugal
UEFA Nations League
27.09.26	Norway - Portugal	1:2 ✺
24.09.26	Portugal - Wales	1:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
06.07.26	Portugal - Spain	0:1 ✺
02.07.26	Portugal - Croatia	2:1 ✺
27.06.26	Colombia - Portugal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League
23.03.25	Portugal - Denmark	5:2 ET
20.03.25	Denmark - Portugal	1:0
UEFA Euro
08.10.15	Portugal - Denmark	1:0
14.10.14	Denmark - Portugal	0:1
13.06.12	Denmark - Portugal	N/A

Denmark - Portugal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide