The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Antofagasta 40%
Draw 27%
Unión Española 33%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.1%
26.5%
32.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.8%
25.4%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Antofagasta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Unión Española has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Antofagasta than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Deportes Antofagasta - Unión Española Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Unión Española (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión Española (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Hurtado Perez F. (C) 4. Tapia B. 5. Astorga R. 6. Diaz C. 22. Suarez M. 8. Leyton S. 16. Gallegos Panozzo M. 17. Hurtado B. 20. Cuadra A. 7. Bravo C. 9. Monreal J.
1. Rodriguez M. (G) 2. Contreras K. 26. Roco B. 3. Alarcon R. 24. Norambuena G. 5. Machado W. 17. Massri F. 14. Nunez I. 20. Wassenne M. 8. Rubio P. 10. Aranguiz P. (C)
Substitutes
11. Bandez J. D. 14. Campillay K. 24. Castro P. 25. Cisternas J. P. (G) 10. Rojas D. 18. Rozas I. 23. Siegler F.
13. Fierro J. (G) 6. Jauregui B. 23. Ojeda U. 21. Pereira S. 27. Vallecilla D. A. 9. Vilches Araneda A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Leyton S. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Contreras K. (Own goal),
45', Machado W. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Wassenne M. ↓, Ojeda U. ↑,
46', Alarcon R. ↓, Pereira S. ↑,
54', Gallegos Panozzo M. 🟨,
61', Rubio P. 🟨,
62', Bravo C. ↓, Rojas D. ↑,
63', Gallegos Panozzo M. ↓, Campillay K. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Hurtado B. ⚽,
74', Aranguiz P. ↓, Vilches Araneda A. ↑,
79', Astorga R. ↓, Siegler F. ↑,
90+2', Monreal J. ↓, Rozas I. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 1, Rubio P. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antofagasta won 1.
In recent matches, Antofagasta has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Unión Española has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Unión Española may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Antofagasta won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:26. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Antofagasta won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1:1.2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Antofagasta
26
11
8
7
44:26
18
41
9
U. Espanola
26
10
6
10
32:34
-2
36
Last Results with these Odds
Deportes Antofagasta - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.08%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.
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Hurtado Perez F. (C) 
Suarez M. 
Gallegos Panozzo M. 
Hurtado B. 
Massri F. 
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