The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Antofagasta 52.9%
Draw 26.2%
San Marcos de Arica 20.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.5%
27.2%
25.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
26.5%
24.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Antofagasta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Antofagasta's performance.
San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Antofagasta than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Deportes Antofagasta - San Marcos de Arica Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Hurtado Perez F. (G) 3. Maluenda M. 4. Tapia B. 13. Abuhadba Z. 22. Suarez M. 10. Rojas D. 20. Cuadra A. 18. Sepulveda N. 26. Hinojosa S. 9. Monreal J. 17. Hurtado B.
13. Tapia B. (G) 2. Campos R. 5. Rivera J. 8. Barrios A. 34. Barboza A. 4. Iturra M. 18. Galleguillos A. 19. Maidana A. 26. Rencoret C. 9. Melivilu Fuentes C. 16. Reyes G.
Substitutes
32. Aros V. 11. Bandez J. D. 7. Bravo C. 24. Castro P. 25. Cisternas J. P. (G) 6. Diaz C. 21. Manzano F.
20. Abalos A. 23. Cazula A. 22. Donadell N. 21. Orrego N. 24. Pereira D. 1. Saracho R. (G) 11. Zedan N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Hurtado B. ⚽,
30', Galleguillos A. 🟨,
41', Rojas D. 🟨,
42', Cubillos G. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Monreal J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Rojas D. 🟨,
57', Iturra M. ↓, Cazula A. ↑,
61', Hinojosa S. ↓, Aros V. ↑,
61', Cuadra A. ↓, Manzano F. ↑,
70', Cubillos G. ↓, Zedan N. ↑,
70', Galleguillos A. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
72', Monreal J. ↓, Bandez J. D. ↑,
79', Rencoret C. ↓, Donadell N. ↑,
79', Reyes G. ↓, Abalos A. ↑,
86', 3 - 0, Hurtado B. ⚽,
88', Hurtado B. ↓, Diaz C. ↑,
88', Barboza A. 🟨,
Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Liga de Primera (Promotion - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 7th in the Promotion - Liga de Primera (Promotion - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antofagasta won 1.
Antofagasta is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by San Marcos de Arica have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
San Marcos de Arica could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Antofagasta for this game.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Antofagasta has recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:22 (averaging 1.7:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Antofagasta against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 16:13 goals (averaging 1.8:1.4 per game).
Chile
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Hurtado Perez F. (G) 
Abuhadba Z. 
Suarez M. 
Hurtado B. 
Maidana A. 
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