Match Info

CHILE: PRIMERA DIVISION - ROUND 30

Date: 6 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Regional de Antofagasta (Antofagasta)

Referee: Maza P. (Chi)


	Deportes Antofagasta		Universidad Católica

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.5	2.2	Watch
	2.95	3.35	2.25
	3.05	3.35	2.21
	3.34	3.51	2.23
	3.2	3.1	2.15	Watch
	3.18	3.4	2.21	Watch
	3.05	3.35	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.78)	3.37 ↓ (3.46)	2.21 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Antofagasta
29.8%

Draw
27.8%

Universidad Católica
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

26.9%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

26.6%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Antofagasta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Antofagasta than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	55.6%	22.2%

Deportes Antofagasta - Universidad Católica Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Antofagasta will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Antofagasta won 1.

Antofagasta is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Universidad Católica is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Universidad Católica will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Antofagasta won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 26-51.

Including matches at home between the teams Antofagasta won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18-23.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Antofagasta
Chilean Primera Division
30.10.22	Everton de Viña - Deportes Antofagasta	3:0 ✺
23.10.22	Deportes Antofagasta - Unión Española	2:0 ✺
01.10.22	Huachipato - Deportes Antofagasta	1:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
27.09.22	Unión Española - Deportes Antofagasta	4:1 ✺
23.09.22	Deportes Antofagasta - Unión Española	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL
- Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division
31.10.22	Universidad Católica - Audax Italiano	0:0 ✺
23.10.22	Unión La Calera - Universidad Católica	4:0 ✺
19.10.22	Unión Española - Universidad Católica	1:2 ✺
Chilean Cup
13.10.22	Universidad Católica - Universidad de Chile	2:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
08.10.22	Universidad Católica - Ñublense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
29.05.22	Universidad Católica - Deportes Antofagasta	1:0
04.11.21	Universidad Católica - Deportes Antofagasta	4:0
29.07.21	Deportes Antofagasta - Universidad Católica	3:2
22.11.20	Universidad Católica - Deportes Antofagasta	5:3
09.02.20	Deportes Antofagasta - Universidad Católica	2:3
01.09.19	Deportes Antofagasta - Universidad Católica	1:2
17.05.19	Universidad Católica - Deportes Antofagasta	5:1

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